Suppose the risk-free rate is 3.94% and an analyst assumes a market risk premium of 6.66%. Firm A just paid a dividend of $1.12 per share. The analyst estimates the β of Firm A to be 1.48 and estimates the dividend growth rate to be 4.03% forever. Firm A has 277.00 million shares outstanding. Firm B just paid a dividend of $1.64 per share. The analyst estimates the β of Firm B to be 0.73 and believes that dividends will grow at 2.14% forever. Firm B has 199.00 million shares outstanding. What is the value of Firm B?

1 answer

To find the value of Firm B, we can use the Gordon Growth Model (Dividend Discount Model), which is given by the formula:

\[ P_0 = \frac{D_1}{r - g} \]

where:

  • \(P_0\) is the price of the stock today,
  • \(D_1\) is the expected dividend next year,
  • \(r\) is the required rate of return,
  • \(g\) is the growth rate of dividends.

Step 1: Calculate the Required Rate of Return (r) for Firm B

Using the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM):

\[ r = r_f + \beta (r_m - r_f) \]

where:

  • \(r_f\) = risk-free rate = 3.94% = 0.0394
  • \(\beta\) for Firm B = 0.73
  • Market risk premium (\(r_m - r_f\)) = 6.66% = 0.0666

Now substituting the values:

\[ r = 0.0394 + 0.73 \times 0.0666 \] \[ r = 0.0394 + 0.048658 \] \[ r = 0.088058 \text{ or } 8.81% \]

Step 2: Calculate \(D_1\) for Firm B

Firm B just paid a dividend of $1.64. We need to calculate the dividend expected next year:

\[ D_1 = D_0 \times (1 + g) \] where:

  • \(D_0\) = last paid dividend = $1.64
  • \(g\) = growth rate = 2.14% = 0.0214

Now substituting the values:

\[ D_1 = 1.64 \times (1 + 0.0214) \] \[ D_1 = 1.64 \times 1.0214 \] \[ D_1 = 1.673416 \]

Step 3: Calculate the value of Firm B (P_0)

Now we can substitute \(D_1\), \(g\), and \(r\) into the Gordon Growth Model formula:

\[ P_0 = \frac{D_1}{r - g} \]

Substituting the known values:

\[ P_0 = \frac{1.673416}{0.088058 - 0.0214} \] \[ = \frac{1.673416}{0.066658} \] \[ = 25.11 \]

Step 4: Calculate the total market value of Firm B

The total value of Firm B is calculated as:

\[ \text{Market Value} = P_0 \times \text{Shares Outstanding} \]

Where the number of shares outstanding of Firm B is 199.00 million:

\[ \text{Market Value} = 25.11 \times 199,000,000 \] \[ \text{Market Value} \approx 4,999,890,000 \text{ or } \approx 5.00 \text{ billion} \]

Thus, the value of Firm B is approximately $5.00 billion.