Suppose the risk-free rate is 3.96% and an analyst assumes a market risk premium of 5.34%. Firm A just paid a dividend of $1.44 per share. The analyst estimates the β of Firm A to be 1.29 and estimates the dividend growth rate to be 4.44% forever. Firm A has 259.00 million shares outstanding. Firm B just paid a dividend of $1.75 per share. The analyst estimates the β of Firm B to be 0.85 and believes that dividends will grow at 2.87% forever. Firm B has 190.00 million shares outstanding. What is the value of Firm A?

1 answer

To find the value of Firm A, we will use the Gordon Growth Model (also known as the Dividend Discount Model), which is suited for valuing a stock that pays dividends that are expected to grow at a constant rate. The formula for the Gordon Growth Model is:

\[ P_0 = \frac{D_0 \times (1 + g)}{r - g} \]

Where:

  • \( P_0 \) = price of the stock today
  • \( D_0 \) = most recent dividend paid
  • \( g \) = growth rate of dividends
  • \( r \) = required rate of return

1. Calculate the required rate of return (r) for Firm A

The required rate of return can be calculated using the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM):

\[ r = r_f + \beta \times (r_m - r_f) \]

Where:

  • \( r_f \) = risk-free rate = 3.96% (or 0.0396)
  • \( \beta \) = beta of Firm A = 1.29
  • \( r_m - r_f \) = market risk premium = 5.34% (or 0.0534)

Substituting in the values:

\[ r = 0.0396 + 1.29 \times 0.0534 \] \[ r = 0.0396 + 0.0688836 \] \[ r = 0.1084836 \text{ or approximately } 10.85% \]

2. Substitute values into the Gordon Growth Model for Firm A

  • \( D_0 = 1.44 \)
  • \( g = 4.44% = 0.0444 \)

Now substituting these values into the formula:

\[ P_0 = \frac{1.44 \times (1 + 0.0444)}{0.1084836 - 0.0444} \] \[ P_0 = \frac{1.44 \times 1.0444}{0.0640836} \] \[ P_0 = \frac{1.505856}{0.0640836} \approx 23.48 \]

3. Calculate the total market value of Firm A

To find the total value of Firm A, we multiply the stock price by the number of shares outstanding:

\[ \text{Total Value of Firm A} = P_0 \times \text{Number of Shares} \]

Number of shares outstanding for Firm A = 259 million:

\[ \text{Total Value of Firm A} = 23.48 \times 259,000,000 \approx 6,086,420,000 \]

Conclusion

The estimated total value of Firm A is approximately $6.09 billion.