Suppose the risk-free rate is 3.67% and an analyst assumes a market risk premium of 7.11%. Firm A just paid a dividend of $1.21 per share. The analyst estimates the β of Firm A to be 1.49 and estimates the dividend growth rate to be 4.56% forever. Firm A has 278.00 million shares outstanding. Firm B just paid a dividend of $1.64 per share. The analyst estimates the β of Firm B to be 0.85 and believes that dividends will grow at 2.13% forever. Firm B has 184.00 million shares outstanding. What is the value of Firm A?

1 answer

To calculate the value of Firm A, we will use the Gordon Growth Model (also known as the Dividend Discount Model for a firm with constant growth). The formula for the present value of a stock is:

\[ P_0 = \frac{D_1}{r - g} \]

Where:

  • \( P_0 \) is the price of the stock today,
  • \( D_1 \) is the expected dividend next year,
  • \( r \) is the required rate of return,
  • \( g \) is the growth rate of the dividends.

Step 1: Calculate the required rate of return (r)

To calculate the required rate of return for Firm A, we will use the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM):

\[ r = r_f + \beta \times (r_m - r_f) \]

Where:

  • \( r_f = 3.67% \) (risk-free rate),
  • \( \beta = 1.49 \) (beta for Firm A),
  • \( r_m - r_f = 7.11% \) (market risk premium).

Substituting in the values:

\[ r = 3.67% + 1.49 \times 7.11% \]

Calculating \( \beta \times (r_m - r_f) \):

\[ 1.49 \times 7.11% = 10.58% \]

Now, adding the risk-free rate:

\[ r = 3.67% + 10.58% = 14.25% \]

Step 2: Calculate the expected dividend next year (D1)

The expected dividend next year can be calculated using the growth rate on the dividend just paid:

\[ D_1 = D_0 \times (1 + g) \]

Where:

  • \( D_0 = 1.21 \) (the dividend just paid for Firm A),
  • \( g = 4.56% \) (dividend growth rate).

Calculating \( D_1 \):

\[ D_1 = 1.21 \times (1 + 0.0456) = 1.21 \times 1.0456 \approx 1.26 \]

Step 3: Calculate the price of Firm A's stock (P0)

Now substituting \( D_1 \), \( r \), and \( g \) into the Gordon Growth Model:

\[ P_0 = \frac{1.26}{0.1425 - 0.0456} = \frac{1.26}{0.0969} \approx 13.00 \]

Step 4: Calculate the total value of Firm A

To find the total value of the firm, we need to multiply the price per share by the number of shares outstanding:

\[ \text{Total Value of Firm A} = P_0 \times \text{Shares Outstanding} \]

Where:

  • Shares Outstanding = 278 million.

Calculating the total value:

\[ \text{Total Value of Firm A} = 13.00 \times 278,000,000 \approx 3,614,000,000 \]

Final Answer:

The value of Firm A is approximately $3.614 billion.