To solve the problem, we need to use the Central Limit Theorem. Based on the data provided, we can make calculations for the sample mean and its associated probabilities.
- Mean (\( \mu \)): 204 mg/dL
- Standard deviation (\( \sigma \)): 42.5 mg/dL
- Sample size (\( n \)): 112
The standard error (\( SE \)) of the sample mean is calculated as follows:
\[ SE = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} = \frac{42.5}{\sqrt{112}} \approx \frac{42.5}{10.583} \approx 4.0201 \]
Now, we can use the standard error to calculate z-scores and find the probabilities.
A) Probability that the sample mean is greater than 212
First, we find the z-score for 212:
\[ z = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{SE} = \frac{212 - 204}{4.0201} \approx \frac{8}{4.0201} \approx 1.9873 \]
Now we can find the probability for \( P(\bar{X} > 212) \):
Using the z-table, we find the cumulative probabilities:
- For \( z = 1.9873 \), the cumulative probability \( P(Z < 1.9873) \approx 0.9761\).
Thus, \( P(\bar{X} > 212) \):
\[ P(\bar{X} > 212) = 1 - P(Z < 1.9873) \approx 1 - 0.9761 = 0.0239 \]
B) Probability that the sample mean is between 192 and 202
Next, we need the z-scores for both 192 and 202.
For 202:
\[ z = \frac{202 - 204}{4.0201} \approx \frac{-2}{4.0201} \approx -0.4975 \]
For 192:
\[ z = \frac{192 - 204}{4.0201} \approx \frac{-12}{4.0201} \approx -2.9852 \]
Now we find the probabilities for both z-scores:
- For \( z = -0.4975 \), \( P(Z < -0.4975) \approx 0.3095 \) (from z-table).
- For \( z = -2.9852 \), \( P(Z < -2.9852) \approx 0.0014 \).
Therefore, the probability that the sample mean is between 192 and 202:
\[ P(192 < \bar{X} < 202) = P(Z < -0.4975) - P(Z < -2.9852) \approx 0.3095 - 0.0014 = 0.3081 \]
C) Probability that the sample mean is less than 197
Calculate the z-score for 197:
\[ z = \frac{197 - 204}{4.0201} \approx \frac{-7}{4.0201} \approx -1.7404 \]
Now we find the cumulative probability:
- For \( z = -1.7404 \), \( P(Z < -1.7404) \approx 0.0408 \).
So, it would be unusual for the sample mean to be less than 197 since the probability is \( P(\bar{X} < 197) \approx 0.0408 \).
Summary of answers:
A) The probability that the sample mean cholesterol level is greater than 212: 0.0239
B) The probability that the sample mean cholesterol level is between 192 and 202: 0.3081
C) It is unusual for the sample mean to be less than 197, since the probability is 0.0408.