Assume that a procedure yields a binomial distribution with a trial repeated n=5

times. Use some form of technology to find the probability distribution given the probability p=0.636 of success on a single trial.

(Report answers accurate to 4 decimal places.)

k P(X = k)
0
1
2
3
4
5

1 answer

To find the probability distribution of a binomial random variable with parameters \( n = 5 \) (number of trials) and \( p = 0.636 \) (probability of success on a single trial), we can use the binomial probability formula:

\[ P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k} \]

where:

  • \( \binom{n}{k} \) is the binomial coefficient,
  • \( p \) is the probability of success,
  • \( 1-p \) is the probability of failure.

We will calculate \( P(X = k) \) for \( k = 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 \).

First, calculate \( 1 - p = 1 - 0.636 = 0.364 \).

Now, we can compute each probability:

  1. For \( k = 0 \): \[ P(X = 0) = \binom{5}{0} (0.636)^0 (0.364)^5 = 1 \cdot 1 \cdot (0.364)^5 \approx 0.0048 \]

  2. For \( k = 1 \): \[ P(X = 1) = \binom{5}{1} (0.636)^1 (0.364)^4 = 5 \cdot (0.636) \cdot (0.364)^4 \approx 0.0588 \]

  3. For \( k = 2 \): \[ P(X = 2) = \binom{5}{2} (0.636)^2 (0.364)^3 = 10 \cdot (0.636)^2 \cdot (0.364)^3 \approx 0.2246 \]

  4. For \( k = 3 \): \[ P(X = 3) = \binom{5}{3} (0.636)^3 (0.364)^2 = 10 \cdot (0.636)^3 \cdot (0.364)^2 \approx 0.3844 \]

  5. For \( k = 4 \): \[ P(X = 4) = \binom{5}{4} (0.636)^4 (0.364)^1 = 5 \cdot (0.636)^4 \cdot (0.364) \approx 0.2845 \]

  6. For \( k = 5 \): \[ P(X = 5) = \binom{5}{5} (0.636)^5 (0.364)^0 = 1 \cdot (0.636)^5 \cdot 1 \approx 0.0858 \]

Finally, rounding the probabilities to four decimal places, we get:

\[ \begin{array}{c|c} k & P(X = k) \ \hline 0 & 0.0048 \ 1 & 0.0588 \ 2 & 0.2246 \ 3 & 0.3844 \ 4 & 0.2845 \ 5 & 0.0858 \ \end{array} \]

So the probability distribution is as follows:

  • \( P(X = 0) \approx 0.0048 \)
  • \( P(X = 1) \approx 0.0588 \)
  • \( P(X = 2) \approx 0.2246 \)
  • \( P(X = 3) \approx 0.3844 \)
  • \( P(X = 4) \approx 0.2845 \)
  • \( P(X = 5) \approx 0.0858 \)