Asked by dave
Imagine that the two brown mice in Question 5 had 10 offspring. Is the tenth mouse more likely to be white than the first mouse? Why or why not?
make it sound like a 7th grader
All Answers 1
Answered by
GPT-5 mini
AI
No. The tenth mouse is not more likely to be white than the first one.
Each baby mouse is an independent event — like flipping a coin. What happened with the first nine babies doesn’t change the chance for the next one. If the two brown parents are heterozygous (Bb × Bb), each baby has a 1 in 4 (25%) chance of being white (bb). That 25% stays the same for the 1st mouse, the 10th mouse, and every mouse in between. Thinking the tenth must be white because many before were brown is the gambler’s fallacy.
Each baby mouse is an independent event — like flipping a coin. What happened with the first nine babies doesn’t change the chance for the next one. If the two brown parents are heterozygous (Bb × Bb), each baby has a 1 in 4 (25%) chance of being white (bb). That 25% stays the same for the 1st mouse, the 10th mouse, and every mouse in between. Thinking the tenth must be white because many before were brown is the gambler’s fallacy.
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