In this scenario, you have a two-level random variable system:
-
The first random variable \( Q \) is uniformly distributed over the interval \([0, 1]\). This means the probability density function (pdf) of \( Q \) is given by: \[ f_Q(q) = \begin{cases} 1 & \text{if } 0 \leq q \leq 1 \ 0 & \text{otherwise} \end{cases} \]
-
Given a realization of \( Q = q \), the second random variable \( X \) follows a Bernoulli distribution with parameter \( q \). The Bernoulli distribution takes on the value 1 with probability \( q \) and 0 with probability \( 1 - q \). Therefore, the conditional probability mass function of \( X \) given \( Q = q \) is: \[ P(X = 1 \mid Q = q) = q, \quad P(X = 0 \mid Q = q) = 1 - q. \]
To analyze this setup further, we can derive the marginal distribution of \( X \) by integrating over the possible values of \( q \). The joint distribution of \( X \) and \( Q \) can be specified as follows:
\[ P(X = x, Q = q) = P(X = x \mid Q = q) f_Q(q). \]
For \( X = 1 \):
\[ P(X = 1, Q = q) = P(X = 1 \mid Q = q) f_Q(q) = q \cdot 1 = q, \quad \text{for } 0 \leq q \leq 1. \]
To find the marginal probability \( P(X = 1) \): \[ P(X = 1) = \int_0^1 P(X = 1, Q = q) dq = \int_0^1 q , dq = \left[\frac{q^2}{2}\right]_{0}^{1} = \frac{1}{2}. \]
For \( X = 0 \):
\[ P(X = 0, Q = q) = P(X = 0 \mid Q = q) f_Q(q) = (1 - q) \cdot 1 = 1 - q, \quad \text{for } 0 \leq q \leq 1. \]
To find the marginal probability \( P(X = 0) \): \[ P(X = 0) = \int_0^1 P(X = 0, Q = q) dq = \int_0^1 (1 - q) , dq = \left[q - \frac{q^2}{2}\right]_0^1 = 1 - \frac{1}{2} = \frac{1}{2}. \]
Summary:
-
Marginal probability of \( X = 1 \): \[ P(X = 1) = \frac{1}{2} \]
-
Marginal probability of \( X = 0 \): \[ P(X = 0) = \frac{1}{2} \]
Thus, \( X \) is uniformly distributed between 0 and 1 as well, with the probability of it being 1 or 0 both equal to 1/2.