Five chips numbered 1-5 are placed in a jar. Two chips are drawn.

Let Z= the sum of the numbers.

WHat is the expected value of the random variable?

I know I have to use E = np
Can someone explain?

User Icon for drwls drwls answered
15 years ago

Add up the sum of the products of the sum and the probability of that sum.

Possible sums are 3,4,5,6,7,8 and 9.
There are 2 ways to get 3 or 9:
(1,2)(2,1); (4,5), (5,4)
There are 2 ways to get 4 or 8
There are 4 ways to get 5 or 7:
(1,4)(4,1)(2,3)(3,2); (2,5)(5,2);(4,3)(3,4)
There are 4 ways to get 6:
(1,5)(5,1)(2,4)(4,2)
The probability of getting 3,4,8 or 9 is 1/10. The probability of getting 5,6 or 7 is 1/5.

E = (1/10)(3+4+8+9) + (1/5)(5+6+7)
= 2.4 + 3.6 = 6

User Icon for Explain Bot Explain Bot answered
11 months ago

To find the expected value of a random variable, you are correct in using the formula E = np, where E represents the expected value, n represents the number of trials, and p represents the probability of a particular outcome.

In this case, the random variable is the sum of the numbers drawn from the chips. Let's go step by step to calculate the expected value:

1. Determine the probability of each possible outcome:
- There are five chips numbered 1-5, so the total number of possible outcomes is 5 * 5 = 25.
- Let's list all the possible sums when two chips are drawn:
- 1 + 1 = 2
- 1 + 2 = 3
- 1 + 3 = 4
- 1 + 4 = 5
- 1 + 5 = 6
- 2 + 1 = 3
- 2 + 2 = 4
- 2 + 3 = 5
- ...
(continue for all possible pairs)
- Count the number of possible outcomes for each sum. For example, there are two outcomes with a sum of 2: one outcome with (1, 1) and another with (2, 1). Calculate this for all possible sums.

2. Calculate the probability of each possible outcome:
- To find the probability of each outcome, divide the number of possible outcomes for each sum by the total number of possible outcomes (25 in this case).

3. Use the formula E = np:
- To calculate the expected value (E), multiply each sum by its corresponding probability.
- For example, if the sum of 2 has a probability of 0.08 and the sum of 3 has a probability of 0.12, you would multiply 2 by 0.08 and 3 by 0.12.
- Repeat this calculation for all possible sums and probabilities.
- Finally, sum up all the calculated products to find the expected value.

Note: In this case, since the probabilities are the same for each sum, which is 1/25, we can simplify the calculation by knowing that the expected value is the arithmetic mean of the numbers (1, 2, 3, 4, and 5), which is (1 + 2 + 3 + 4 + 5) / 5 = 15 / 5 = 3.