You wish to test the following claim (H a) at a significance level of alpha =0.01

.
H_o : p = 0.4
H_a : p < 0.4



You obtain a sample of size n=212 in which there are 76 successful observations. For this test, you should NOT use the continuity correction, and you should use the normal distribution as an approximation for the binomial distribution.

What is the test statistic for this sample? (Report answer accurate to three decimal places.)
test statistic =

What is the p-value for this sample? (Report answer accurate to four decimal places.)
p-value =

The p-value is...
less than (or equal to)
greater than

This test statistic leads to a decision to...
reject the null
accept the null
fail to reject the null

As such, the final conclusion is that...
There is sufficient evidence to warrant rejection of the claim that the population proportion is less than 0.4.
There is not sufficient evidence to warrant rejection of the claim that the population proportion is less than 0.4.
The sample data support the claim that the population proportion is less than 0.4.
There is not sufficient sample evidence to support the claim that the population proportion is less than 0.4.

1 answer

To perform the hypothesis test, we need to calculate the test statistic and then the p-value for the sample data provided.

  1. Calculating the Sample Proportion (\( \hat{p} \)): \[ \hat{p} = \frac{x}{n} = \frac{76}{212} \approx 0.3585 \]

  2. Calculating the Test Statistic (z): The formula for the z-test statistic for a proportion is: \[ z = \frac{\hat{p} - p_0}{\sqrt{\frac{p_0(1 - p_0)}{n}}} \] Where:

    • \( \hat{p} \) is the sample proportion.
    • \( p_0 \) is the null hypothesis proportion (0.4 in this case).
    • \( n \) is the sample size (212).

    Substituting in the values: \[ z = \frac{0.3585 - 0.4}{\sqrt{\frac{0.4(1 - 0.4)}{212}}} = \frac{-0.0415}{\sqrt{\frac{0.4 \times 0.6}{212}}} = \frac{-0.0415}{\sqrt{\frac{0.24}{212}}} = \frac{-0.0415}{\sqrt{0.00113208}} = \frac{-0.0415}{0.0336} \approx -1.237 \]

    Test Statistic \( z \) (accurate to three decimal places) = -1.237

  3. Calculating the p-value: Since this is a one-tailed test (we are looking for \( H_a: p < 0.4 \)), we find the p-value associated with \( z = -1.237 \).

    Using standard normal distribution tables or a calculator, we get: \[ p\text{-value} = P(Z < -1.237) \approx 0.1087 \]

    p-value (accurate to four decimal places) = 0.1087

  4. Decision Making: We compare the p-value to the significance level \( \alpha = 0.01 \). Since \( 0.1087 > 0.01 \), we do not reject the null hypothesis.

  5. Final Conclusion:

    • The decision is to fail to reject the null.
    • Thus, the final conclusion is:
    • There is not sufficient evidence to warrant rejection of the claim that the population proportion is less than 0.4.

Summary of Results:

  • Test Statistic (z) = -1.237
  • p-value = 0.1087
  • Decision: fail to reject the null
  • Conclusion: There is not sufficient evidence to warrant rejection of the claim that the population proportion is less than 0.4.
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