There are lots of ideas in here:
http://www.google.com/search?q=difficulties+in+weather+forecasting&ie=utf-8&oe=utf-8&aq=t&rls=org.mozilla:en-US:official&client=firefox-a
Why is weather forcasting so difficult?!
2 answers
And here is a collection of a science writer's articles that address some aspect of climate change, even sometimes whether to believe it or not!
http://blogs.chron.com/sciguy/archives/climate_change/
http://blogs.chron.com/sciguy/archives/climate_change/