Theodore Roosevelt believed that the mere threat of force was sufficient for achieving his foreign policy goals largely due to his understanding of power dynamics and international relations. He popularized the phrase "Speak softly and carry a big stick; you will go far," which encapsulated his belief in the effectiveness of a strong military as a deterrent while also advocating for diplomatic negotiations.
Several reasons underpinned his philosophy:
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Realpolitik Perspective: Roosevelt adopted a realist approach, recognizing that power and the willingness to use it were fundamental in international relations. He understood that a credible threat could often achieve results without the need for actual military conflict.
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Military Modernization: Under Roosevelt’s leadership, the U.S. military was modernized and expanded, enhancing its capability. He believed that having a robust military force provided leverage in diplomatic negotiations, discouraging adversaries from defying American interests.
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Precedent of Success: Roosevelt had seen instances where the threat of U.S. military force—including the deployment of the Great White Fleet—yielded diplomatic concessions from other nations. The successful negotiation of the end of the Russo-Japanese War through U.S. mediation also reinforced his belief in the effectiveness of military threat combined with diplomatic efforts.
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Support for American Expansionism: Roosevelt was also a supporter of American exceptionalism and believed in a role for the U.S. as a global power. He viewed demonstrating strength as a means of establishing U.S. influence and promoting American interests abroad.
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Maintaining Stability: Roosevelt believed that by projecting power, the U.S. could help maintain order in regions of strategic importance, such as Latin America. This was particularly evident in his corollary to the Monroe Doctrine, which justified intervention in the Western Hemisphere to prevent European intervention.
In summary, Theodore Roosevelt's belief in the efficacy of the threat of force stemmed from a combination of his realpolitik views, military expansion, historical precedents, and a vision for America’s role in global affairs. He considered that a strong, credible military presence could effectively advance American interests while minimizing the need for direct military engagement.