To tackle the problem, we need to start earning a linear function from the provided data. We'll denote \(x\) as the number of years after 2000 (for example, \(x=2\) for the year 2002), and \(y\) as the national expenditures for health care in billions of dollars.
From the data table, we have the following points:
- (2, 1601)
- (4, 1855)
- (6, 2113)
- (8, 2414)
- (10, 2604)
- (12, 2817)
- (14, 3081)
- (16, 3403)
- (18, 3786)
- (20, 4274)
- (22, 4826)
- (24, 5425)
Part 1: Find a linear function
To find the linear function of the form \( y = mx + b \), we need to determine the slope \( m \) and the y-intercept \( b \).
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Calculate the slope \( m \): We can choose two points to calculate the slope. Let's use the first and the last data points (2, 1601) and (24, 5425).
\[ m = \frac{y_2 - y_1}{x_2 - x_1} = \frac{5425 - 1601}{24 - 2} = \frac{3824}{22} \approx 174.7273 \]
-
Calculate the y-intercept \( b \): We can use one of the points to find \( b \). Using the point (2, 1601):
\[ 1601 = 174.7273(2) + b \] \[ b = 1601 - 349.4546 \approx 1251.5454 \]
Thus, the linear model can be written as:
\[ y = 174.7273x + 1251.5454 \]
For 3 significant digits, the function is approximately:
\[ y \approx 175x + 1250 \]
The answer for Part 1:
\[ y = 175x + 1250 \]
Part 2: Predicting expenditures in 2040
To predict the expenditures in 2040, we first need the value of \( x \) for that year:
\[ x = 2040 - 2000 = 40 \]
Now, substitute \( x = 40 \) into the model:
\[ y \approx 175(40) + 1250 = 7000 + 1250 = 8250 \]
The answer for Part 2:
\[ \text{The model predicts that expenditures will be } $8250 \text{ billion.} \]
Part 3: Predicting when expenditures will be $8069 billion
We set the equation equal to $8069 billion:
\[ 8069 = 175x + 1250 \]
Now solve for \( x \):
\[ 8069 - 1250 = 175x \] \[ 6819 = 175x \] \[ x \approx \frac{6819}{175} \approx 38.66 \]
So, \( x \approx 39 \). Since \( x \) is years after 2000, the year can be calculated as:
\[ 2000 + 39 = 2039 \]
The answer for Part 3:
\[ \text{The reported model predicts that the national expenditures for health care will be } $8069 \text{ billion in the year } 2039. \]