To find the line of best fit for the life expectancy data and to make predictions, we will first express the data in a more convenient form.
A. Finding the Equation for the Line of Best Fit
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Convert the Year of Birth to a Numerical Scale (x):
We can use the year itself or convert it to a more manageable scale. For simplicity, let's use the years as they are but remember that they are increasing. \[ x = \begin{bmatrix} 1900 \ 1910 \ 1920 \ 1930 \ 1940 \ 1950 \ 1960 \end{bmatrix} \] The corresponding life expectancy values (y): \[ y = \begin{bmatrix} 47.3 \ 50.0 \ 54.1 \ 59.7 \ 62.9 \ 68.2 \ 69.7 \end{bmatrix} \] -
Calculate the Line of Best Fit: We will use the least-squares method to find the equation of the line \( y = mx + b \) where \( m \) is the slope and \( b \) is the y-intercept.
Using a calculator or performing the calculations manually, we find:
- Number of data points (\(n\)): 7
- \(\sum x = 1900 + 1910 + 1920 + 1930 + 1940 + 1950 + 1960 = 13600\)
- \(\sum y = 47.3 + 50.0 + 54.1 + 59.7 + 62.9 + 68.2 + 69.7 = 412.9\)
- \(\sum xy = 1900 \cdot 47.3 + 1910 \cdot 50.0 + 1920 \cdot 54.1 + 1930 \cdot 59.7 + 1940 \cdot 62.9 + 1950 \cdot 68.2 + 1960 \cdot 69.7 = 107955.7\)
- \(\sum x^2 = 1900^2 + 1910^2 + 1920^2 + 1930^2 + 1940^2 + 1950^2 + 1960^2 = 26176000\)
Using the formulas for the slope \( m \) and intercept \( b \): \[ m = \frac{n(\sum xy) - (\sum x)(\sum y)}{n(\sum x^2) - (\sum x)^2} \] \[ b = \frac{(\sum y)(\sum x^2) - (\sum x)(\sum xy)}{n(\sum x^2) - (\sum x)^2} \]
Plugging the values into the formulas: \[ m = \frac{7(107955.7) - (13600)(412.9)}{7(26176000) - (13600)^2} \approx 0.01079 \] \[ b = \frac{(412.9)(26176000) - (13600)(107955.7)}{7(26176000) - (13600)^2} \approx - 19340.27 \]
Thus, the equation of the line of best fit is: \[ y \approx 0.01079x - 19340.27 \]
B. Estimate the Life Expectancy for Someone Born in the Year 1998
To estimate the life expectancy for someone born in 1998, we can simply substitute \( x = 1998 \) into our line equation:
\[ y = 0.01079(1998) - 19340.27 \]
Calculating this gives us:
\[ y \approx 0.01079(1998) - 19340.27 \approx 67.68 \]
Thus, the estimated life expectancy for someone born in 1998 is approximately 67.68 years.
Conclusion
A) The equation for the line of best fit is \( y \approx 0.01079x - 19340.27 \).
B) The estimated life expectancy for someone born in 1998 is approximately 67.68 years.