The probability of Jamie hitting a target is 1/3.The probability that he hits the target for the first time on his nth attempt is 64/2187.Find the value of n?

1 answer

To find the value of \( n \) where the probability that Jamie hits the target for the first time on his \( n \)th attempt is \( \frac{64}{2187} \), we need to understand the conditions of hitting a target for the first time.

The probability that Jamie hits the target is \( p = \frac{1}{3} \). The probability that he misses the target is \( q = 1 - p = 1 - \frac{1}{3} = \frac{2}{3} \).

The probability that he hits the target for the first time on his \( n \)th attempt can be expressed as:

\[ P(\text{hits first time on } n\text{th attempt}) = q^{n-1} \cdot p \]

Now substituting \( q \) and \( p \):

\[ P(\text{hits first time on } n\text{th attempt}) = \left( \frac{2}{3} \right)^{n-1} \cdot \frac{1}{3} \]

This must equal \( \frac{64}{2187} \):

\[ \left( \frac{2}{3} \right)^{n-1} \cdot \frac{1}{3} = \frac{64}{2187} \]

To isolate \( \left( \frac{2}{3} \right)^{n-1} \), we multiply both sides by \( 3 \):

\[ \left( \frac{2}{3} \right)^{n-1} = \frac{64 \cdot 3}{2187} \]

Calculating \( \frac{64 \cdot 3}{2187} \):

\[ \frac{192}{2187} \]

Next, we can express \( 2187 \) as \( 3^7 \) since \( 2187 = 3^7 \):

\[ 192 = 64 \cdot 3 = 2^6 \cdot 3^1 \]

Thus, we have:

\[ \left( \frac{2}{3} \right)^{n-1} = \frac{2^6 \cdot 3^1}{3^7} = \frac{2^6}{3^6} = \left( \frac{2}{3} \right)^6 \]

From this, we can set up the equation:

\[ \frac{2}{3}^{n-1} = \frac{2}{3}^{6} \]

By comparing exponents:

\[ n - 1 = 6 \implies n = 7 \]

Thus, the value of \( n \) is:

\[ \boxed{7} \]