To find out when the percent \( p \) of 12th graders who have ever used cigarettes is less than 31%, we need to use the given model:
\[ p = -1.841t + 59.334 \]
We want to determine when \( p < 31 \). Setting up the inequality, we have:
\[ -1.841t + 59.334 < 31 \]
Now, we will solve this inequality step by step:
- Subtract 59.334 from both sides:
\[ -1.841t < 31 - 59.334 \] \[ -1.841t < -28.334 \]
- Divide both sides by -1.841. Remember, dividing by a negative number flips the inequality sign:
\[ t > \frac{-28.334}{-1.841} \]
- Calculating the right side:
\[ t > \frac{28.334}{1.841} \approx 15.4 \]
Since \( t \) represents the number of years after 2000, we round 15.4 up to the nearest whole number, which is 16.
This means that:
\[ t = 16 \]
This corresponds to the year 2000 + 16 = 2016.
So, the percent of 12th graders who have ever used cigarettes will be less than 31% after the year 2016.