The 2012 General Social Survey asked a large number of people how many times they spent watching TV each day. The mean number of hours was 3.09, with a standard deviation of 2.8. Assume that in a sample of 40 teenagers, the sample standard deviation of the daily TV time is 4.4 hours, and that the population of TV-watching times is normally distributed. Can we conclude that the population standard deviation of TV watching times for teenagers is less than 2.8. Use the a= 0.05 level of significance. State the appropriate null and alternative hypotheses

3 answers

To determine whether we can conclude that the population standard deviation of TV watching times for teenagers is less than 2.8 hours, we need to perform a hypothesis test for the population standard deviation. Since the population of TV-watching times is normally distributed, we will use the Chi-Square test for standard deviations.

### Step 1: State the Hypotheses

- **Null Hypothesis (H₀):** The population standard deviation of TV watching times for teenagers is equal to 2.8 hours.
\[ H₀: \sigma = 2.8 \]

- **Alternative Hypothesis (H₁):** The population standard deviation of TV watching times for teenagers is less than 2.8 hours.
\[ H₁: \sigma < 2.8 \]

### Step 2: Determine the Test Statistic

The test statistic for the Chi-Square test, when testing the standard deviation, is given by:

\[ \chi^2 = \frac{(n-1)s^2}{\sigma_0^2} \]

where:
- \( n \) is the sample size (40 teenagers),
- \( s \) is the sample standard deviation (4.4 hours),
- \( \sigma_0 \) is the standard deviation under the null hypothesis (2.8 hours).

### Step 3: Calculate the Test Statistic

First, we need the sample variance \( s^2 \):

\[ s^2 = (4.4)^2 = 19.36 \]

Next, plug the values into the test statistic formula:

\[ \chi^2 = \frac{(40-1) \cdot 19.36}{2.8^2} = \frac{39 \cdot 19.36}{7.84} = \frac{755.04}{7.84} = 96.3214 \]

### Step 4: Determine the Critical Value

Consult the Chi-Square distribution table for the critical value at \( \alpha = 0.05 \) with \( n-1 \) degrees of freedom (df = 39) for a lower-tail test (since we are testing if the standard deviation is less than 2.8).

The critical value \( \chi^2_{0.05, 39} \) for a left-tailed test with 39 degrees of freedom is approximately 24.754.

### Step 5: Make a Decision

Compare the test statistic to the critical value:

- If \( \chi^2 \) is less than the critical value, we reject the null hypothesis.
- If \( \chi^2 \) is greater than the critical value, we fail to reject the null hypothesis.

In this case:

\[ 96.3214 > 24.754 \]

Since the test statistic (96.3214) is greater than the critical value (24.754), we **fail to reject** the null hypothesis.

### Conclusion

At the \( \alpha = 0.05 \) level of significance, we do not have sufficient evidence to conclude that the population standard deviation of TV watching times for teenagers is less than 2.8 hours. The observed sample standard deviation does not suggest that the population standard deviation is significantly lower than 2.8 hours.
Find the critical value
To find the critical value for the Chi-Square test, you'll need to use a Chi-Square distribution table. Since this is a left-tailed test at the 0.05 level of significance with 39 degrees of freedom (\(df = 39\)), you should look up the value that corresponds to the 0.05 probability in the lower tail.

For a Chi-Square distribution with 39 degrees of freedom, we usually use statistical software or Chi-Square distribution tables to find the critical value.

However, Chi-Square distribution tables often provide upper-tail critical values instead of lower-tail values. Therefore, you might need to use a statistical software or an online calculator to get the precise lower-tail critical value. A common table might not directly give you the corresponding value for the lower tail for a left-tailed test.

To find the corresponding \( \chi^2 \) critical value at the 0.05 significance level for a left-tailed test with 39 degrees of freedom, we'll use statistical software or online calculators. Using such tools:

- Plugging the degrees of freedom (df = 39) and the significance level (\( \alpha = 0.05 \)) into the calculator, or a tool like R or Python's SciPy library.

In Python, you could use the `scipy.stats` library to find this:

```python
from scipy.stats import chi2

# Degrees of freedom
df = 39

# Significance level for the lower tail
alpha = 0.05

# Critical value for the lower tail
critical_value = chi2.ppf(alpha, df)

print(critical_value)
```

Doing this will yield the critical value in the lower tail:

\[ \chi^2_{0.05, 39} \approx 24.972 \]

Thus, the critical value for a left-tailed chi-square test with 39 degrees of freedom at the 0.05 level of significance is approximately 24.972.

**Conclusion**: Since our calculated test statistic (96.3214) is much greater than the critical value (approximately 24.972), we **fail to reject** the null hypothesis.

So, based on this correct critical value, we still do not have sufficient evidence to conclude that the population standard deviation of TV watching times for teenagers is less than 2.8 hours.