Tanica drew a line of best fit on a scatterplot, as shown below.

On a graph, a trend line has a negative slope.
The equation of the line is y almost-equals negative 1.02 x + 7.09. Using the line, she predicted that when the value of x is 0.5, the value of y will be approximately 7.6. What was her mistake?
She drew the line of best fit incorrectly.
She used the line of best fit to predict y for an incorrect value of x.
She forgot the minus sign before the first term on the right side of the equation when she predicted y.
She plugged 0.5 into the equation for y instead of x and actually predicted x instead of y.

1 answer

To analyze Tanica's prediction using the line of best fit, we start with the given equation of the line:

\[ y \approx -1.02x + 7.09 \]

Now, we need to substitute \( x = 0.5 \) into this equation to find the corresponding value of \( y \):

\[ y \approx -1.02(0.5) + 7.09 \] \[ y \approx -0.51 + 7.09 \] \[ y \approx 6.58 \]

Tanica predicted that when \( x = 0.5 \), \( y \) would be approximately \( 7.6 \). However, the calculation shows that the actual value of \( y \) is approximately \( 6.58 \).

The options provided for her mistake are:

  1. She drew the line of best fit incorrectly.
  2. She used the line of best fit to predict \( y \) for an incorrect value of \( x \).
  3. She forgot the minus sign before the first term on the right side of the equation when she predicted \( y \).
  4. She plugged \( 0.5 \) into the equation for \( y \) instead of \( x \) and actually predicted \( x \) instead of \( y \).

Tanica's prediction was incorrect, and it appears she wrongly calculated \( y \) when \( x = 0.5 \). Therefore, she made a mistake by not performing the calculation correctly with the correct value of \( x \).

The most accurate conclusion is that:

She forgot the minus sign before the first term on the right side of the equation when she predicted \( y \).

This is consistent with her prediction being too high since a negative coefficient in the equation would lower the value of \( y \). Therefore, option 3 is likely the best choice to explain her mistake.

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