Part 2: Use the RAD method to answer the question and provide specific textual evidence to support your analysis.Based on the article, what do scientists need in order to determine the long-term effects of climate change on the development of tropical storms

Answer 1

R: Scientists need long-term data on tropical storms and the associated climate conditions to determine the effects of climate change on their development.

A: The article explains that scientists require historical records of tropical storms and their intensities, as well as corresponding climate data, in order to analyze long-term trends and establish potential connections with climate change. According to James Elsner, a professor at Florida State University, examining past storm records is crucial to understand the baseline norms and characteristics that can help detect any shifts or deviations caused by climate change. For example, the article mentions that scientists have discovered an increase in the number of rapidly intensifying hurricanes, defined as storms that gain strength by at least 35 mph in 24 hours. This finding is a result of examining long-term records and developing statistical models that link these patterns to climate change.

D: Additionally, the article suggests that scientists need climate models to predict future changes in storm patterns. These models simulate various climate scenarios based on different greenhouse gas emission levels, allowing scientists to assess the potential impact of climate change on tropical storm development. By comparing these models with observed data, researchers can refine their predictions and understand how storm behavior may evolve in the coming decades.

In conclusion, scientists need long-term records of tropical storms and associated climate data to determine the effects of climate change on their development. By analyzing these historical records and using climate models to predict future changes, researchers can establish the link between climate change and tropical storm patterns, helping to anticipate and mitigate the potential impacts of climate change on these extreme weather events.