In a certain college class, 40 percent of students scored an A on the final exam. What is the probability of randomly selecting two out of six students from the class who scored an A? Use the formula nCkp" a-k to solve.

1 answer

To find the probability of randomly selecting two out of six students who scored an A on the final exam, we can use the binomial probability formula. The problem states that 40% of the students scored an A. Therefore, we can set this up as a binomial distribution problem where:

  • \( n = 6 \): the number of trials (students),
  • \( k = 2 \): the number of successes (students who scored an A),
  • \( p = 0.4 \): the probability of success (scoring an A),
  • \( q = 1 - p = 0.6 \): the probability of failure (not scoring an A).

The binomial probability formula is given by:

\[ P(X = k) = nCk \cdot p^k \cdot q^{(n-k)} \]

Where \( nCk \) is the binomial coefficient, computed as:

\[ nCk = \frac{n!}{k!(n-k)!} \]

  1. Calculate \( nCk \):

\[ nCk = \frac{6!}{2!(6-2)!} = \frac{6!}{2! \cdot 4!} = \frac{6 \times 5}{2 \times 1} = 15 \]

  1. Calculate \( p^k \) and \( q^{n-k} \):

\[ p^k = (0.4)^2 = 0.16 \] \[ q^{(n-k)} = (0.6)^{(6-2)} = (0.6)^4 = 0.1296 \]

  1. Combine all parts into the probability formula:

\[ P(X = 2) = 15 \cdot 0.16 \cdot 0.1296 \]

Calculating this step-by-step:

\[ 15 \cdot 0.16 = 2.4, \] \[ 2.4 \cdot 0.1296 = 0.310656 \]

Thus, the probability of randomly selecting two out of six students from the class who scored an A is:

\[ \boxed{0.3107} \] (rounding to four decimal places)