If Alex and Steven are spinning to see who gets to take 711 on a trip. Alex decides to spin himself to make sure Steven doesn't cheat. He spins himself 14 times. They decide if Alex spins a 4 or any number less than 4 he gets to go on a trip with 711. If he spins 5 or greater than 5, then Steven gets to go. The outcomes are 4,4,8,6,2,2,4,5,6,8,4,9,1,3.

Question

If Alex and Steven are spinning to see who gets to take 711 on a trip. Alex decides to spin himself to make sure Steven doesn't cheat. He spins himself 14 times. They decide if Alex spins a 4 or any number less than 4 he gets to go on a trip with 711. If he spins 5 or greater than 5, then Steven gets to go. The outcomes are 4,4,8,6,2,2,4,5,6,8,4,9,1,3. 
Who has better odds of winning and why?

bobpursley · Answer

The probability of 4 or less is 8/14. The probability of 5 or greater is 6/14. I would not make any prediction on this small sample.