If a hurricane forms in the eastern half of the Bay of Bengal, there is a 76 percent chance that

Question

it will strike the western coast of Maharashtra. From data gathered over the past 50 years, it
has been determined that the probability of a hurricane’s occurring in this area in any given
year is 0.85. What is the probability that a hurricane will occur in the eastern Bay of Bengal and strike Maharastra this year?

Answer 1

The current estimate is 76 percent.