To determine whether the random variable \( X \) (the number of freshmen students among the 30 randomly chosen students) has a binomial distribution, we need to check if it meets the conditions for a binomial distribution:
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Fixed number of trials (N): We have a fixed number of trials, which is \( N = 30 \) (the number of students chosen).
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Two possible outcomes: Each student can either be a freshman or not.
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Constant probability of success (p): For a binomial distribution, it is assumed that the probability \( p \) of success (selecting a freshman) is constant for all trials. However, since we are choosing students from a finite population without replacement (the college has only 2400 students), the probability changes slightly with each selection if we don't use the hypergeometric distribution.
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Independence: For binomial distributions, the trials must be independent. In this case, because we are sampling without replacement from a finite population, the trials are not independent. The outcome of one trial influences the outcomes of others.
Since the probability of selecting a freshman changes as students are selected (due to the finite population and sampling without replacement), and because the trials are not independent, the random variable \( X \) does not meet the requirements for a binomial distribution.
Thus, we can conclude:
The random variable \( X \) does not have a binomial distribution because the trials are not independent and the probability of success is not constant throughout the selection process. This scenario could be modeled using a hypergeometric distribution instead.