Consider an experiment with a sample space S={car,train,unicycle, boat,bicycle,tricycle,motorcycle} . (Note: There is one of each vehicle.) What is the probability that an object has exactly 2 wheels, given that the object has wheels?

1 answer

To determine the probability that an object has exactly 2 wheels given that it has wheels, we first identify the objects from the sample space \( S = { \text{car, train, unicycle, boat, bicycle, tricycle, motorcycle} } \) that have wheels and then identify how many of those have exactly 2 wheels.

Step 1: Identify objects with wheels. The vehicles in the sample space that have wheels are:

  1. Unicycle (1 wheel)
  2. Bicycle (2 wheels)
  3. Tricycle (3 wheels)
  4. Motorcycle (2 wheels)
  5. Car (4 wheels)

Total objects with wheels:

  • Unicycle
  • Bicycle
  • Tricycle
  • Motorcycle
  • Car

So, the objects with wheels are: Unicycle, Bicycle, Tricycle, Motorcycle, Car. This gives us a total of 5 objects with wheels.

Step 2: Identify objects with exactly 2 wheels. From the identified objects, the ones that have exactly 2 wheels are:

  1. Bicycle
  2. Motorcycle

Total objects with exactly 2 wheels:

  • Bicycle
  • Motorcycle

So, there are 2 objects with exactly 2 wheels.

Step 3: Calculate the conditional probability. The probability that an object has exactly 2 wheels given that it has wheels can be calculated using the formula:

\[ P(A | B) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B)} \]

Where:

  • \( A \) is the event that the object has exactly 2 wheels.
  • \( B \) is the event that the object has wheels.

However, since we have already counted \( A \cap B \) and \( B \), we can simplify as follows:

\[ P(A | B) = \frac{\text{Number of favorable outcomes for A}}{\text{Total outcomes for B}} = \frac{2}{5} \]

Thus, the probability that an object has exactly 2 wheels given that it has wheels is:

\[ \boxed{\frac{2}{5}} \]