To analyze the situation and the impact of the dividend cut and growth rate adjustment for Big Time Cell Phone Corporation, we can calculate the new expected price of the stock based on the Gordon Growth Model (also known as the Dividend Discount Model).
1. Calculate the expected dividend for Year 1:
Given that the new dividend is $2.13 per share.
2. Calculate the expected dividend for Year 2:
The new expected growth rate is 3.60%.
\[ \text{Year 2 Dividend} = \text{Year 1 Dividend} \times (1 + \text{Growth Rate}) \]
\[ \text{Year 2 Dividend} = 2.13 \times (1 + 0.036) = 2.13 \times 1.036 = 2.20768 \]
3. Calculate the expected dividend for Year 3:
Using the Year 2 dividend as a base:
\[ \text{Year 3 Dividend} = \text{Year 2 Dividend} \times (1 + \text{Growth Rate}) \]
\[ \text{Year 3 Dividend} = 2.20768 \times (1 + 0.036) = 2.20768 \times 1.036 = 2.28163 \]
4. Calculate the price of the stock using Gordon Growth Model:
The formula for the Gordon Growth Model is:
\[ P_0 = \frac{D_1}{r - g} \]
Where:
- \(P_0\) = Price of the stock today
- \(D_1\) = Dividend expected next year (which is $2.13 for Year 1)
- \(r\) = Required rate of return
- \(g\) = Growth rate of dividends (3.60%)
Since we need the required rate of return, we will estimate it using the previous pricing and growth assumption. Let's assume the original growth rate of 2.50% and the original price of $15.59:
\[ 15.59 = \frac{3.10}{r - 0.025} \]
Rearranging gives us:
\[ r - 0.025 = \frac{3.10}{15.59} \] \[ r - 0.025 \approx 0.198 \] \[ r \approx 0.2 + 0.025 = 0.225 = 22.5% \]
5. Using the new growth rate to find the new stock price:
Now we can use the required return (\(0.225\)) and new growth rate (\(0.036\)) in the Gordon Growth Model:
\[ P_0 = \frac{2.13}{0.225 - 0.036} \]
Calculating the denominator:
\[ 0.225 - 0.036 = 0.189 \]
Calculating the stock price:
\[ P_0 = \frac{2.13}{0.189} \approx 11.27 \]
Conclusion:
Based on the new dividend and the expected growth rate, the estimated price of Big Time Cell Phone Corporation stock is approximately $11.27. This is a decrease from its previous price of $15.59 following the dividend cut and revised growth expectations.