According to recent surveys, 60% of households have personal computers. If a random sample of 180 households is selected, what is the probability that more than 60, but fewer than 100, have a personal computer. Use the normal approximation and express your answer as a decimal. Please round to the nearest thousandth.

1 answer

To solve this problem using the normal approximation to the binomial distribution, we need to first establish the parameters of the binomial distribution.

Given:

  • \( n = 180 \) (number of households)
  • \( p = 0.60 \) (probability of a household having a personal computer)

The mean \( \mu \) and standard deviation \( \sigma \) of the binomial distribution are given by:

\[ \mu = n \cdot p = 180 \cdot 0.60 = 108 \]

\[ \sigma = \sqrt{n \cdot p \cdot (1 - p)} = \sqrt{180 \cdot 0.60 \cdot 0.40} = \sqrt{180 \cdot 0.24} = \sqrt{43.2} \approx 6.561 \]

Next, we want to find the probability that the number of households with a personal computer, \( X \), is more than 60 but fewer than 100:

\[ P(60 < X < 100) \]

Using the normal approximation, we convert the binomial distribution to a normal distribution. We apply continuity correction since we are working with a discrete distribution.

So we look for:

\[ P(60 < X < 100) \approx P(60.5 < Y < 99.5) \]

where \( Y \) is a normal random variable with mean \( \mu = 108 \) and standard deviation \( \sigma \approx 6.561 \).

Now, we can standardize the values to find the corresponding z-scores:

  1. For \( Y = 60.5 \):

\[ z = \frac{60.5 - 108}{6.561} \approx \frac{-47.5}{6.561} \approx -7.24 \]

  1. For \( Y = 99.5 \):

\[ z = \frac{99.5 - 108}{6.561} \approx \frac{-8.5}{6.561} \approx -1.30 \]

Next, we use the standard normal distribution to find the probabilities corresponding to these z-scores.

Using standard normal distribution tables or a calculator:

\[ P(Z < -7.24) \approx 0 \quad \text{(very small probability)} \]

\[ P(Z < -1.30) \approx 0.0968 \]

Thus,

\[ P(60.5 < Y < 99.5) \approx P(Z < -1.30) - P(Z < -7.24) \approx 0.0968 - 0 \approx 0.0968 \]

Finally, rounding to the nearest thousandth, we find that the probability that more than 60 but fewer than 100 households have a personal computer is:

\[ \boxed{0.097} \]