A roller coaster is being designed that will accommodate 60 riders. The maximum weight the coaster can hold safely is 12,000 pounds. According to the National Health Statistics Reports, the weights of adult U.S. men have mean 194 pounds and standard deviation 68 pounds, and the weights of adult U.S. women have mean 164 pounds and standard deviation 77 pounds.

(a) If 60 people are riding the coaster, and their total weight is 12,000 pounds, what is their average weight?

9 answers

To find the average weight of the 60 riders if their total weight is 12,000 pounds, you would use the formula for average weight, which is:

\[ \text{Average weight} = \frac{\text{Total weight}}{\text{Number of riders}} \]

Substituting the given values:

\[ \text{Average weight} = \frac{12,000 \text{ pounds}}{60 \text{ riders}} = 200 \text{ pounds} \]

So, the average weight of the riders would be 200 pounds.

(b) If a random sample of 60 adult men ride the coaster, what is the probability that the maximum safe weight will be exceeded? Round the answer to at least four decimal places.

To find the probability that a random sample of 60 adult men exceeds the maximum safe weight of 12,000 pounds, we can use the Central Limit Theorem (CLT). According to CLT, the distribution of the sample mean will be approximately normally distributed if the sample size is large, which it is in this case (60 riders).

Step 1: Calculate the Mean and Standard Deviation of the Sample Mean

From the problem statement, we know the following for adult men:

  • Mean weight (\( \mu \)) = 194 pounds
  • Standard deviation (\( \sigma \)) = 68 pounds

The standard deviation of the sample mean (\( \sigma_{\bar{x}} \)) for a sample of size \( n \) is given by:

\[ \sigma_{\bar{x}} = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} = \frac{68}{\sqrt{60}} \]

Calculating this:

\[ \sigma_{\bar{x}} \approx \frac{68}{7.75} \approx 8.74 \]

Step 2: Calculate the Z-Score

Next, we want to find the probability that the average weight of a sample of 60 adult men exceeds 200 pounds. First, we need to compute the Z-score for 200 pounds:

\[ Z = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{\sigma_{\bar{x}}} = \frac{200 - 194}{8.74} \approx \frac{6}{8.74} \approx 0.686 \]

Step 3: Find the Probability

Now we will find the probability that the sample mean exceeds 200 pounds, which corresponds to finding \( P(Z > 0.686) \).

Using a Z-table or standard normal distribution calculator:

\[ P(Z > 0.686) = 1 - P(Z < 0.686) \approx 1 - 0.7549 \approx 0.2451 \]

Final Answer

Thus, the probability that the maximum safe weight will be exceeded is approximately:

\[ \boxed{0.2451} \]

(c) If a random sample of 60 adult women ride the coaster, what is the probability that the maximum safe weight will be exceeded? Round the answer to at least four decimal places.

To determine the probability that a random sample of 60 adult women will exceed the maximum safe weight of 12,000 pounds, we'll again use the Central Limit Theorem.

Step 1: Calculate the Mean and Standard Deviation of the Sample Mean for Women

According to the problem statement, the parameters for adult women are:

  • Mean weight (\( \mu \)) = 164 pounds
  • Standard deviation (\( \sigma \)) = 77 pounds

Using these values, we can calculate the standard deviation of the sample mean (\( \sigma_{\bar{x}} \)) for a sample of size \( n = 60 \):

\[ \sigma_{\bar{x}} = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} = \frac{77}{\sqrt{60}} \]

Calculating this:

\[ \sigma_{\bar{x}} \approx \frac{77}{7.75} \approx 9.87 \]

Step 2: Calculate the Z-Score for the Sample Mean of 200 Pounds

Next, we want to find the probability that the average weight of a sample of 60 adult women exceeds 200 pounds. We calculate the Z-score for 200 pounds:

\[ Z = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{\sigma_{\bar{x}}} = \frac{200 - 164}{9.87} \approx \frac{36}{9.87} \approx 3.644 \]

Step 3: Find the Probability

Now we'll find the probability that the sample mean exceeds 200 pounds, which corresponds to finding \( P(Z > 3.644) \).

Using a Z-table or standard normal distribution calculator:

  • The area to the left of \( Z = 3.644 \) is very close to 1 since it is far into the right tail of the normal distribution.

Using a standard normal distribution calculator, we find:

\[ P(Z < 3.644) \approx 0.9999 \]

Thus,

\[ P(Z > 3.644) = 1 - P(Z < 3.644) \approx 1 - 0.9999 = 0.0001 \]

Final Answer

Therefore, the probability that the maximum safe weight will be exceeded when a sample of 60 adult women rides the coaster is approximately:

\[ \boxed{0.0001} \]

Find P(Z> 0.684)

To find \( P(Z > 0.684) \), we can use the standard normal distribution table or a calculator to determine \( P(Z < 0.684) \) first and then calculate \( P(Z > 0.684) \).

  1. Find \( P(Z < 0.684) \): Looking up \( Z = 0.684 \) in the Z-table or using a standard normal calculator, we find:

    \[ P(Z < 0.684) \approx 0.7534 \]

  2. Calculate \( P(Z > 0.684) \): Since the total area under the normal curve is 1, we can find \( P(Z > 0.684) \):

    \[ P(Z > 0.684) = 1 - P(Z < 0.684) = 1 - 0.7534 \approx 0.2466 \]

Final Answer

Thus, the probability \( P(Z > 0.684) \) is approximately:

\[ \boxed{0.2466} \]

Find P(Z> 3.62)

To find \( P(Z > 3.62) \), we first need to determine the area to the left of \( Z = 3.62 \), which is represented as \( P(Z < 3.62) \).

  1. Find \( P(Z < 3.62) \): The Z-score of 3.62 is quite high, and the area associated with such a value is very close to 1. Using a standard normal distribution table or calculator, we can find:

    \[ P(Z < 3.62) \approx 0.99984 \]

  2. Calculate \( P(Z > 3.62) \): To find \( P(Z > 3.62) \), we subtract the value from 1:

    \[ P(Z > 3.62) = 1 - P(Z < 3.62) = 1 - 0.99984 \approx 0.00016 \]

Final Answer

Thus, the probability \( P(Z > 3.62) \) is approximately:

\[ \boxed{0.00016} \]