A population of values has a normal distribution with μ=58.1 and σ=33.9. You intend to draw a random sample of size n=16.

Find the probability that a single randomly selected value is greater than 66.6
P(X > 66.6)=

Find the probability that a sample of size n=16 is randomly selected with a mean greater than 66.6
P(M > 66.6) =

GIVE EXACT NUMBERS NOT ESTIMATE

1 answer

To solve the problem, let's first establish the parameters of the normal distribution:

  • Mean (μ) = 58.1
  • Standard deviation (σ) = 33.9
  • Sample size (n) = 16

1. Find the probability that a single randomly selected value is greater than 66.6.

We need to compute \( P(X > 66.6) \). For a normal distribution, we can convert a single value to a z-score using the formula:

\[ z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} \]

Substituting the values:

\[ z = \frac{66.6 - 58.1}{33.9} = \frac{8.5}{33.9} \approx 0.250735 \]

Now, we can look up this z-score in the standard normal distribution table or use a calculator:

\[ P(Z > 0.250735) = 1 - P(Z \leq 0.250735) \]

From a standard normal distribution table or calculator:

\[ P(Z \leq 0.250735) \approx 0.5987 \]

Thus:

\[ P(Z > 0.250735) \approx 1 - 0.5987 = 0.4013 \]

So,

\[ P(X > 66.6) \approx 0.4013 \]

2. Find the probability that a sample of size n=16 is randomly selected with a mean greater than 66.6.

For a sample mean, the standard deviation (standard error) is given by:

\[ \sigma_M = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} \]

Calculating the standard error for the sample size \( n = 16 \):

\[ \sigma_M = \frac{33.9}{\sqrt{16}} = \frac{33.9}{4} = 8.475 \]

Now, we need to calculate \( P(M > 66.6) \) using the z-score formula for the sample mean:

\[ z = \frac{M - \mu}{\sigma_M} \]

Substituting the values:

\[ z = \frac{66.6 - 58.1}{8.475} = \frac{8.5}{8.475} \approx 1.00295 \]

Now again, we can look up this z-score:

\[ P(Z > 1.00295) = 1 - P(Z \leq 1.00295) \]

From a standard normal distribution table or calculator:

\[ P(Z \leq 1.00295) \approx 0.8413 \]

Thus:

\[ P(Z > 1.00295) \approx 1 - 0.8413 = 0.1587 \]

So,

\[ P(M > 66.6) \approx 0.1587 \]

Summary of results:

  • \( P(X > 66.6) \approx 0.4013 \)
  • \( P(M > 66.6) \approx 0.1587 \)