To construct a 90% confidence interval for the mean reduction in cholesterol level, we will follow these steps:
- Calculate the reductions for each individual.
- Calculate the mean and standard deviation of the reductions.
- Determine the confidence interval.
Step 1: Calculate the Reductions
For each individual, the reduction is calculated as: Reduction = Before - After
The reductions for the individuals are:
- Individual 1: \(258 - 195 = 63\)
- Individual 2: \(260 - 180 = 80\)
- Individual 3: \(280 - 183 = 97\)
- Individual 4: \(265 - 187 = 78\)
- Individual 5: \(291 - 170 = 121\)
- Individual 6: \(281 - 203 = 78\)
- Individual 7: \(281 - 179 = 102\)
- Individual 8: \(285 - 185 = 100\)
So the reductions are:
- 63
- 80
- 97
- 78
- 121
- 78
- 102
- 100
Step 2: Calculate the Mean and Standard Deviation of the Reductions
The mean reduction (\( \bar{x} \)) can be calculated as: \[ \bar{x} = \frac{\sum \text{reductions}}{n} \] where \(n\) is the number of individuals.
Calculating the sum of reductions: \[ 63 + 80 + 97 + 78 + 121 + 78 + 102 + 100 = 719 \]
Number of individuals \(n = 8\).
Now calculate the mean: \[ \bar{x} = \frac{719}{8} = 89.875 \]
Next, we calculate the standard deviation (\(s\)): \[ s = \sqrt{\frac{\sum (x_i - \bar{x})^2}{n-1}} \]
Calculating each squared deviation:
- \( (63 - 89.875)^2 = (-26.875)^2 = 722.265625 \)
- \( (80 - 89.875)^2 = (-9.875)^2 = 97.515625 \)
- \( (97 - 89.875)^2 = (7.125)^2 = 50.640625 \)
- \( (78 - 89.875)^2 = (-11.875)^2 = 141.640625 \)
- \( (121 - 89.875)^2 = (31.125)^2 = 967.265625 \)
- \( (78 - 89.875)^2 = (-11.875)^2 = 141.640625 \)
- \( (102 - 89.875)^2 = (12.125)^2 = 147.265625 \)
- \( (100 - 89.875)^2 = (10.125)^2 = 102.515625 \)
Sum of squared deviations: \[ 722.265625 + 97.515625 + 50.640625 + 141.640625 + 967.265625 + 141.640625 + 147.265625 + 102.515625 = 2272.375 \]
Now calculate the standard deviation: \[ s = \sqrt{\frac{2272.375}{8-1}} = \sqrt{\frac{2272.375}{7}} = \sqrt{324.61} \approx 18.0 \]
Step 3: Determine the Confidence Interval
For a 90% confidence interval with \(n-1\) degrees of freedom (7 degrees of freedom), we can find the critical t-value. Let's use the t-table:
The t-value for 90% confidence and 7 degrees of freedom is approximately \( t_{0.05} \approx 1.895\).
Now, we calculate the margin of error (ME): \[ ME = t \times \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} = 1.895 \times \frac{18.0}{\sqrt{8}} = 1.895 \times \frac{18.0}{2.828} \approx 1.895 \times 6.364 = 12.07 \]
Finally, we calculate the confidence interval: \[ \text{Lower limit} = \bar{x} - ME \approx 89.875 - 12.07 \approx 77.8 \] \[ \text{Upper limit} = \bar{x} + ME \approx 89.875 + 12.07 \approx 101.9 \]
Conclusion
The 90% confidence interval for the mean reduction in cholesterol level is approximately:
\[ \text{(77.8, 101.9)} \]