Question

make this a little more simple Four reds in a row has probability (1/2)^4 = 1/16 = 6.25% — uncommon, but it will happen sometimes. Thinking that a run of reds makes the next spin less likely to be red is the gambler’s fallacy. A good everyday example: if you flip a fair coin and get HHHH, the next flip is still 50/50.

Answer 1

Four reds in a row happens with probability 1/16 (about 6.25%) — not common, but it does happen. Thinking a streak of reds makes the next spin less likely to be red is the gambler’s fallacy. Same idea with a fair coin: after HHHH the next flip is still 50/50.