Question

At LaGuardia Airport for a certain nightly flight, the probability that it will rain is 0.05 and the probability that the flight will be delayed is 0.18. The probability that it will rain and the flight will be delayed is 0.02. What is the probability that it is raining if the flight leaves on time? Round your answer to the nearest thousandth.

Answer 1

P(Rain | On time) = P(R and on time)/P(on time) = (P(R) − P(R and delayed))/(1 − P(delayed)) = (0.05 − 0.02)/0.82 = 0.03/0.82 ≈ 0.037.