Determine whether each prediction in the given scenario is reliable, somewhat reliable, or not reliable. (2 points)

Reliable Somewhat Reliable Not Reliable
Predicting the average weight of puppies at 8 months using data collected over the first 6 months.

Predicting the average weight of a group of birds at 3 months using data collected over the first 6 months.

Predicting the average length of fish at 10 months using data collected over the first 3 months.

Predicting the average height of a tree at 5 years using data collected over the first 2 years.

1 answer

Let's evaluate the reliability of each prediction based on the timing of the data collection compared to the age of the subjects being measured:

  1. Predicting the average weight of puppies at 8 months using data collected over the first 6 months.

    • Reliability: Somewhat Reliable
    • Reasoning: While the data is collected during the first 6 months of life, puppies continue to grow after this period. So, while there is some basis for prediction, it is not fully reliable for 8-month-old puppies.
  2. Predicting the average weight of a group of birds at 3 months using data collected over the first 6 months.

    • Reliability: Reliable
    • Reasoning: Since the data is collected for the full 6 months, this would provide a more comprehensive view of the birds' growth during their early life stages, making this prediction reliable for age 3 months.
  3. Predicting the average length of fish at 10 months using data collected over the first 3 months.

    • Reliability: Not Reliable
    • Reasoning: Three months of data is insufficient to predict the growth of fish over a 10-month period, as fish can vary significantly in growth rate as they age.
  4. Predicting the average height of a tree at 5 years using data collected over the first 2 years.

    • Reliability: Not Reliable
    • Reasoning: Two years is not enough information to predict the height of a tree at 5 years, as trees may have different growth rates in the subsequent years, especially after the first two years of growth.

Summary:

  • Reliable: 2nd prediction (birds)
  • Somewhat Reliable: 1st prediction (puppies)
  • Not Reliable: 3rd prediction (fish), 4th prediction (trees)