Question

Which of these statements is best described as ​"as likely as not​"?
It rains in a desert.
Upper A popular beach is not crowded on a cold winter day.
The next person that gets off a city bus is a man.
The sun will rise in the east tomorrow.
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Part 1
Choose the correct answer below.
A.
It rains in a desert.
B.
The next person that gets off a city bus is a man.
C.
Upper A popular beach is not crowded on a cold winter day.
D.
The sun will rise in the east tomorrow.

Answer 1

The phrase "as likely as not" typically means that there is a 50% chance of something occurring. Among the statements provided:

A. It rains in a desert. - Typically unlikely, as deserts are characterized by low rainfall.
B. The next person that gets off a city bus is a man. - This can vary and might be around a 50% chance depending on the specific context (e.g., the overall population ratio of men to women).
C. A popular beach is not crowded on a cold winter day. - This is likely less than 50% as popular beaches are typically crowded during warmer months.
D. The sun will rise in the east tomorrow. - This is virtually certain and not 50/50.

The best answer is:

**B. The next person that gets off a city bus is a man.**