Constructed Response
A. Describe what happens to the number of animal families at and after each mass extinction event.
At each mass extinction event, there is a significant decline in the number of animal families, indicated by the trapezoidal shapes in the diagram. The events cause sharp drops in biodiversity, followed by a gradual recovery over extended periods of time.
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End of the Ordovician Period (445 million years ago): The first mass extinction event resulted in the extinction of approximately 50% of animal families. After this event, the number of animal families decreased dramatically, with a subsequent slow recovery leading to a gradual increase in biodiversity as new families evolved.
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End of the Devonian Period (360 million years ago): The second mass extinction led to a loss of about 30% of animal families. Similar to the first event, the number of families dropped sharply but recovered over time as ecosystems adjusted and new species emerged.
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End of the Permian Period (250 million years ago): This event was the most severe, with around 60% of animal families going extinct. The impact was profound, leading to a steep decline in biodiversity. Recovery was prolonged as ecosystems took millions of years to stabilize and diversify again.
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End of the Triassic Period (200 million years ago): In this event, approximately 35% of animal families became extinct. While there was a notable reduction in the number of families afterwards, the recovery was again gradual, allowing for the emergence of new species in the subsequent Jurassic Period.
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End of the Cretaceous Period (65 million years ago): The fifth mass extinction also led to a decline of about 50% of animal families, marking the end of the dinosaurs. Following this extinction, there was a significant but slow recovery, leading to the diversification of mammals and birds in the new ecosystems of the Tertiary Period.
Overall, each mass extinction was followed by a clear drop in the number of animal families, with a gradual recovery phase in which new families rose as ecosystems adjusted over millions of years.
B. If this is the sixth mass extinction event, describe the most likely changes in the animal families on Earth over time.
If the current extinction crisis is recognized as the sixth mass extinction event, we can anticipate a substantial decline in the number of animal families, similar to those seen in past events. Over time, the consequences may manifest as follows:
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Immediate Decline: The ongoing loss of species due to habitat destruction, climate change, pollution, and other anthropogenic factors will likely lead to a sharp decline in biodiversity. Many animal families could face extinction, resulting in the loss of a significant portion of the planet's biological diversity.
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Ecosystem Disruption: The extinction of various species will cause imbalances in ecosystems, affecting predator-prey relationships, pollination systems, and nutrient cycles. The extinction of keystone species could have cascading effects, leading to further declines in other species and, consequently, more extinction events.
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Gradual Recovery: Eventually, after the immediate impacts of the sixth mass extinction subside, ecosystems may start to recover. This recovery, however, will likely take millions of years. New species and families may emerge to fill ecological niches left vacant by extinct species, leading to a different composition of biodiversity than previously existed.
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Adaptation and Evolution: The species that survive may undergo rapid evolution and adaptation in response to changed environmental conditions. The emergence of new animal families could lead to increased biodiversity in the long term, but it may not match the diversity lost during the extinction event.
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Human Influence: Unlike previous mass extinctions, the current crisis is driven by human activities. This ongoing influence may continue to shape the evolutionary paths of surviving species, potentially leading to either new forms of biodiversity or a heavily altered ecosystem dominated by human-facilitated species.
In summary, if the current situation is a sixth mass extinction, we can expect a significant drop in the number of animal families, ecosystem disruptions, a prolonged recovery phase, and a reshaping of biodiversity influenced by both natural processes and human actions.