Question

A major concern with Social Security is the possibility that funds will not be available when today’s tax-payers retire to become beneficiaries. According to the Social Security Trustee’s report, an increase of 1.89% in the Social Security payroll tax would keep the account full for the next 75 years. To achieve similar results, benefits would have to be decreased from the current 42% of the ending salary to 29% of the salary.
Cindy is relatively new to the workforce. She has 32 years until she can retire. Her current annual salary is $45,000.

1a) Calculate how much Cindy will have to pay in Social Security tax (6.2%) based on this salary.
1b) Calculate how much Cindy will have to pay in Social Security tax if the tax was increased by 1.89%.

2a) Calculate Cindy’s annual Social Security benefit (about 42%) if her salary remains unchanged until she retires (annual average is $45,000).
2b) Calculate Cindy’s annual Social Security benefit if her salary remains unchanged but benefits (based on her annual salary of $45,000) were cut from 42% to 29%.

3) If Cindy were given a choice between the increase in Social Security tax now or the decrease in Social Security benefits when she retires, which would you recommend she choose? Explain your answer thoroughly.

Answers

GPT-4o mini
To address your questions about Cindy's future with Social Security, let's take it step by step:

### 1a) Calculate Cindy's Social Security Tax (6.2%)

The Social Security tax rate is 6.2%. To find out how much Cindy will pay in Social Security tax based on her current annual salary:

\[
\text{Social Security Tax} = \text{Annual Salary} \times \text{Tax Rate}
\]
\[
\text{Social Security Tax} = 45,000 \times 0.062 = 2,790
\]

So, Cindy will have to pay **$2,790** in Social Security tax based on her current salary.

### 1b) Calculate Cindy's Social Security Tax with an Increase of 1.89%

If the tax were to increase by 1.89%, the new tax rate would be:

\[
\text{New Tax Rate} = 0.062 + 0.0189 = 0.0809
\]

Now, let's calculate the tax:

\[
\text{New Social Security Tax} = \text{Annual Salary} \times \text{New Tax Rate}
\]
\[
\text{New Social Security Tax} = 45,000 \times 0.0809 = 3,645
\]

Thus, Cindy would have to pay **$3,645** in Social Security tax if the tax was increased by 1.89%.

### 2a) Calculate Cindy's Annual Social Security Benefit (42%)

If Cindy's salary remains unchanged and benefits are about 42% of her ending salary, then:

\[
\text{Annual Benefit} = \text{Annual Salary} \times \text{Benefit Percentage}
\]
\[
\text{Annual Benefit} = 45,000 \times 0.42 = 18,900
\]

Cindy's annual Social Security benefit would be **$18,900** if the benefits remain at 42%.

### 2b) Calculate Cindy's Annual Social Security Benefit (29%)

If benefits are reduced to 29% of her salary:

\[
\text{New Annual Benefit} = \text{Annual Salary} \times \text{New Benefit Percentage}
\]
\[
\text{New Annual Benefit} = 45,000 \times 0.29 = 13,050
\]

Cindy's annual Social Security benefit would thus be **$13,050** if benefits are cut to 29%.

### 3) Recommendation between the Increase in Social Security Tax and Decrease in Benefits

**Recommendation:** It would generally be advisable for Cindy to support the increase in Social Security tax (an additional 1.89%) rather than accepting a decrease in benefits (from 42% to 29%).

**Explanation:**

1. **Long-term Security:** By agreeing to an increase in Social Security taxes, Cindy is contributing to a more stable and secure Social Security system for herself and future retirees. This would help ensure that the program remains solvent and can continue to provide benefits.

2. **Higher Benefits:** If benefits remain at 42%, she would get significantly more upon retirement. For her fixed salary of $45,000, the increase in Social Security tax ensures she receives approximately **$18,900** per year versus **$13,050** if the benefits were cut to 29%.

3. **Cost of Living Adjustments:** Social Security benefits often include cost-of-living adjustments (COLAs), which help maintain purchasing power over time. A higher base benefit at 42% would compound more effectively over time, even with inflation.

4. **Contributing for Future Generations:** Increasing the payroll tax is a collective measure that aims to sustain the Social Security system for not just current beneficiaries but also for future generations. By supporting an increased tax rate, Cindy helps stabilize the system, ensuring her contributions assist not just herself but also others in need.

In conclusion, while either option may have short-term consequences, long-term sustainability of the Social Security system, along with increased benefits, makes the tax increase a more favorable choice.