Newlyweds Katherine and Matthias plan to have two children. Assuming it is equally likely to be a boy or a girl, use the tree diagram to help you find the probability that their second child is a girl, given that their first child is a boy.

(1 point)
Responses

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1 answer

To solve this problem, we can use a tree diagram to illustrate the possible combinations of children. Since each child can either be a boy (B) or a girl (G) and the outcomes are equally likely, the tree for two children would look as follows:

          First Child
          /       \
         B         G
       /   \     /   \
      B     G   B     G

This leads to the following possible outcomes for two children:

  1. BB (first child is a boy, second child is a boy)
  2. BG (first child is a boy, second child is a girl)
  3. GB (first child is a girl, second child is a boy)
  4. GG (first child is a girl, second child is a girl)

However, we are given the condition that the first child is a boy. This means we can eliminate the outcomes involving a girl as the first child (GB and GG). This leaves us with the following outcomes:

  1. BB (first is a boy, second is a boy)
  2. BG (first is a boy, second is a girl)

Now we need to find the probability that the second child is a girl given that the first child is a boy. We have two remaining possibilities (BB and BG), where one of them includes the second child being a girl (BG).

Thus, the probability that the second child is a girl given that the first child is a boy is:

  • Number of favorable outcomes (BG) = 1
  • Total possible outcomes (BB, BG) = 2

The probability is therefore:

\[ \text{Probability} = \frac{\text{Number of favorable outcomes}}{\text{Total outcomes}} = \frac{1}{2} \]

Thus, the answer is:

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