Which of these contexts describes a situation that is likely?

Answer
Multiple Choice Answers
Rolling a 7 on a standard six-sided die, numbered from 1 to 6.
Spinning a spinner divided into four equal-sized sections colored red/green/yellow/blue and landing on green.
Winning a raffle that sold a total of 100 tickets if you bought 50 tickets.
Reaching into a bag full of 3 strawberry chews and 17 cherry chews without looking and pulling out a cherry chew.

1 answer

Let's evaluate each context to determine which situation is likely:

  1. Rolling a 7 on a standard six-sided die, numbered from 1 to 6: This is impossible because the maximum number on a standard six-sided die is 6. Therefore, the probability of rolling a 7 is 0%.

  2. Spinning a spinner divided into four equal-sized sections colored red/green/yellow/blue and landing on green: Each color has an equal chance of being landed on. The probability of landing on green is 1 out of 4 (25%), which is possible but not necessarily a favorite outcome.

  3. Winning a raffle that sold a total of 100 tickets if you bought 50 tickets: If you bought 50 out of 100 tickets, your chances of winning are 50%, which is a significant probability.

  4. Reaching into a bag full of 3 strawberry chews and 17 cherry chews without looking and pulling out a cherry chew: There are a total of 20 chews, with 17 of them being cherry chews. The probability of pulling out a cherry chew is 17 out of 20 (85%), making it quite likely.

Based on this analysis, the most likely situation is reaching into a bag full of 3 strawberry chews and 17 cherry chews without looking and pulling out a cherry chew.