Complete all components in the activity below according to the given instructions. Refer to the provided rubric for information on how you will be graded. Submit your work as a file attachment using the dropbox.

Question

The activity is worth 15 points.

Predicting Temperatures
Required Materials
Word processing software
Adobe Express (login required)
In this unit, you used a simulation called En-ROADS to see how various actions and industries affect the earth’s temperature. In this activity, you will use the same simulation to make a prediction about how one of the inputs affects the earth’s temperatures.

Step 1: Create a Graph
Go to En-ROADS. Choose an input category (such as coal, bioenergy, population, deforestation, etc.) and adjust it.

Carefully observe how that one change affects both graphs and the temperature increase of the earth. Keep in mind that with “business as usual,” the earth’s temperature is predicted to go up by 4.1° Celsius (7.3° Fahrenheit). So if you increase energy efficiency, the earth’s temperature increase will go down. This does not mean that the temperature is decreasing—it is just increasing by less.

Take a screenshot that includes the category you changed and the temperature change graph and number. Paste the screenshot into a word processing document.

For example, this screenshot shows how the temperature increase went down when we increased energy efficiency:

The En-Roads climate interactive showing energy efficiency increased and temperature increase decreased.
Step 2: Summarize Your Conclusions
Write a few sentences about your observations after your screenshot.

For our example we might say that when energy efficiency is highly increased, it has a positive overall effect on the earth’s temperature. It could decrease it by 0.4° Fahrenheit. It also reduces how much coal, oil, and gas is used.

Step 3: Add Text to Prevention Section
Go to Adobe Express and log in to your account. If you are already logged in, click on the Get Adobe Express Free button in the middle of the page, and you’ll be taken to your homepage. Open your Global Warming poster that you started in the lessons by clicking on Your stuff in the left side menu.

Add your observations from Step 2 to the Prevention section that you set up earlier.

Our example could look something like this:

The prevention section of the poster with an image of a windfarm and the sentence about energy efficiency underneath.
Step 4: Add Text to Causes and Effects Sections
Finish the Causes and Effects sections in your poster. Look up information from reputable sources, and try to use a variety of sources such as online articles/websites, printed books, magazines, journals, etc. Include at least one picture per section.

To submit your poster, you’ll need to get the link. Share this poster following the instructions in the unit. Upload the link to this unit’s dropbox.

Activity 2 Grading Rubric
En-ROADS Simulation Format
Full Credit
One input category has been changed. A screenshot that includes the input, graphs, and temperature increase is submitted. Observation is detailed and contains excellent insight into the effect of changing the input.

Poster has a professional and appealing overall appearance. There are no grammar or spelling mistakes. The information is concise and has an excellent level of details and insight. At least one picture per section is included.

Partial Credit
One input category has been changed. The screenshot may not include the input, graphs, and temperature increase. Observation is surface level and may not be completely accurate.

Poster may have sizing or formatting issues that make it appear less professional. Text may have a few grammar or spelling mistakes. The information reflects surface-level insight. At least two sections have pictures.

Little Credit
An input category may not have been changed. A screenshot has not been submitted. Observation contains many inaccuracies or is not submitted.

Answer 1

Predicting Temperatures Activity

Step 1: Create a Graph

Input Category Chosen: Deforestation

I adjusted the levels of deforestation in the En-ROADS simulation. The initial setting for deforestation showed a predicted temperature increase of 4.1° Celsius (7.3° Fahrenheit) under "business as usual." By significantly reducing deforestation rates, I observed the temperature increase drop to 3.5° Celsius (6.3° Fahrenheit).

Screenshot:
(Insert Screenshot Here)

Step 2: Summarize Your Conclusions

By reducing deforestation, there is a noticeable positive impact on the predicted temperature increase of the earth. Specifically, by curbing deforestation, I observed a reduction in temperature increase from 4.1° Celsius to 3.5° Celsius, which equates to a decrease of 0.6° Celsius (1.1° Fahrenheit). This change indicates that decreasing deforestation plays a crucial role in mitigating climate change and helps in lowering the overall carbon emissions in the atmosphere.

Step 3: Add Text to Prevention Section

In Adobe Express, I have updated the Prevention section of my Global Warming poster to include the following observation:

Text Added:

"Reducing deforestation is essential to mitigating climate change. By lowering deforestation rates, we can significantly reduce the predicted temperature increase, as demonstrated in simulations. This reduction can lead to a lower temperature increase of about 0.6° Celsius (1.1° Fahrenheit), highlighting the importance of forest conservation in our efforts to combat global warming."

(Insert Image of a Forest/or relevant graphics that depict reforestation)

Step 4: Add Text to Causes and Effects Sections

Causes Section:
I researched various causes of climate change, identifying factors such as greenhouse gas emissions from fossil fuels, and the impact of agriculture and industrial activities.

Text Added:

"Human activities, including fossil fuel combustion, industrial emissions, and agricultural practices, are the primary drivers of climate change. The release of greenhouse gases such as CO2 and methane leads to increased atmospheric temperatures."

(Insert relevant image showing greenhouse gas emissions or a diagram of the greenhouse effect)

Effects Section:
I gathered information about the effects of climate change, focusing on rising sea levels, increased natural disasters, and biodiversity loss.

Text Added:

"The effects of climate change are profound, resulting in rising sea levels that threaten coastal communities, increased frequency and severity of natural disasters, and significant loss of biodiversity around the globe."

(Insert image that illustrates rising sea levels or natural disasters)

Submission Instructions:

• I will now ensure that my poster appears professional, while including the required images and text.
• Once finished, I will copy the link to my poster from Adobe Express and upload it to the unit’s dropbox along with this document for submission.

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Note: Be sure to customize the references to images, simulations, and specific observations based on your results from using the En-ROADS simulation. This template serves as a guide to completing the assignment.