The scenario described indicates a pattern of size variation in black bears in response to environmental changes, where the sizes shift from small to large based on the climate. The shift from a predominance of smaller bears in warmer periods to larger bears in ice ages suggests an adaptation to changing environmental pressures, which fits the concept of directional selection.
As Earth moved out of an ice age and transitioned to a warmer climate, the overall size of the black bear population would likely decrease, hence the distribution curve would shift toward the left, reflecting a predominance of smaller bears.
Therefore, the correct response is:
directional; the curve would shift to the left.