The situation you described regarding the size of black bears in relation to changing environmental conditions during ice ages and warmer periods indicates a pattern of directional selection. This is because there are two different prevalent traits (large bears during ice ages and small bears during warmer periods), and as conditions change, one trait becomes more favorable than the other.
As the Earth moves out of an ice age and into a warmer climate, we would expect the distribution curve of black bear size to shift towards the smaller size, reflecting the increased frequency of smaller bears.
Therefore, the correct response would be:
directional; the curve would shift to the right.