In a standard deck of 52 cards, there are 4 cards that are numbered 4 (one from each suit: hearts, spades, diamonds, and clubs).
To find the theoretical probability of picking a 4, you can use the formula:
\[ \text{Probability} = \frac{\text{Number of favorable outcomes}}{\text{Total number of possible outcomes}} \]
Here, the number of favorable outcomes (picking a 4) is 4, and the total number of possible outcomes (total cards) is 52.
So the probability is:
\[ \text{Probability} = \frac{4}{52} \]
Now simplify the fraction:
\[ \frac{4}{52} = \frac{1}{13} \]
Thus, the theoretical probability of Lucy picking a 4 from the deck is
\[ \frac{1}{13} \]