Assume that a simple random sample has been selected from a normally distributed population and test the given claim. Use either the traditional method or P-value method as indicated. Identify the null and alternative hypotheses, test statistic, critical value(s) or P-value (or range of P-values) as appropriate, and state the final conclusion that addresses the original claim. Choose the correct option based on the problem information.

A public bus company official claims that the mean waiting time for bus number 14 during peak hours is less than 10 minutes. Karen took bus number 14 during peak hours on 18 different occasions. Her mean waiting time was 7.9 minutes with a standard deviation of 1.5 minutes. At the 0.01 significance level, test the claim that the mean waiting time is less than 10 minutes. Use the P-value method of testing hypotheses. Identify the correct test statistic and conclusion.

A) Test statistic: t = 5.940. There is sufficient evidence to support the claim that the mean is greater than 10 minutes.
B) Test statistic: t = –5.940. There is sufficient evidence to support the claim that the mean is less than 10 minutes.
C) Test statistic: t = –5.940. There is not sufficient evidence to support the claim that the mean is less than 10 minutes.
D) Test statistic: t = 5.940. There is sufficient evidence to support the claim that the mean is equal to 10 minutes.

1 answer

To test the claim that the mean waiting time for bus number 14 during peak hours is less than 10 minutes, we need to establish the null and alternative hypotheses, calculate the test statistic, and then interpret the P-value to make a conclusion.

Step 1: Set up the hypotheses

  • Null hypothesis (\(H_0\)): \(\mu \geq 10\) (the mean waiting time is greater than or equal to 10 minutes)
  • Alternative hypothesis (\(H_a\)): \(\mu < 10\) (the mean waiting time is less than 10 minutes)

Step 2: Gather the sample information

  • Sample size (\(n\)) = 18
  • Sample mean (\(\bar{x}\)) = 7.9 minutes
  • Sample standard deviation (\(s\)) = 1.5 minutes
  • Significance level (\(\alpha\)) = 0.01

Step 3: Calculate the test statistic

Since the population is normally distributed and we are using a sample standard deviation, we will use the t-distribution.

The formula for the t-statistic is:

\[ t = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu_0}{s/\sqrt{n}} \]

Where:

  • \(\mu_0\) is the population mean under the null hypothesis (10 minutes).

Substituting the values:

\[ t = \frac{7.9 - 10}{1.5/\sqrt{18}} = \frac{-2.1}{1.5/\sqrt{18}} = \frac{-2.1}{1.5/4.24264} = \frac{-2.1}{0.35355} \approx -5.940 \]

Step 4: Find the critical value and P-value

We will find the P-value for the t-statistic calculated. The degrees of freedom \(df = n - 1 = 18 - 1 = 17\).

Using a t-distribution table or calculator, we can find the P-value for \(t = -5.940\) with 17 degrees of freedom. The P-value is very small (less than 0.001), indicating strong evidence against the null hypothesis.

Step 5: Conclusion

Since the P-value is less than the significance level \(\alpha = 0.01\), we reject the null hypothesis.

Thus, we have sufficient evidence to support the claim that the mean waiting time is less than 10 minutes.

Final Answer

The correct choice based on the information and calculations is:

B) Test statistic: t = –5.940. There is sufficient evidence to support the claim that the mean is less than 10 minutes.