At Washington School, 30% of the members in the concert band play brass instruments.

Stanley conducted a survey of 15 brass players and 15 other musicians to determine the favorite song style of the members of the band.

Which statement below best describes the sampling error, if any, Stanley made when gathering data?
A.
A sampling error occurs because all 30 of the musicians Stanley surveyed should have been brass players.

B.
A sampling error occurs because only 9 of the 30 musicians Stanley surveyed should have been brass players.

C.
A sampling error occurs because none of the 30 musicians Stanley surveyed should have been brass players.

D.
There is no sampling error in Stanley's survey.

1 answer

To analyze the situation, we need to consider the composition of the concert band members at Washington School. If 30% of the members play brass instruments, it implies that in a representative sample of 30 musicians, we would expect about 30% to be brass players, which is 9 musicians.

In Stanley's survey, he included 15 brass players and 15 other musicians, making a total of 30 musicians. This result means that there were indeed 15 more brass players in his sample than expected based on the 30% probability.

Given this analysis, we can evaluate the answer choices:

A. A sampling error occurs because all 30 of the musicians Stanley surveyed should have been brass players.

  • Incorrect, as not all should be brass players.

B. A sampling error occurs because only 9 of the 30 musicians Stanley surveyed should have been brass players.

  • This is the correct reasoning because, statistically, he should have had about 9 brass players in a representative sample of 30 musicians, but he surveyed 15.

C. A sampling error occurs because none of the 30 musicians Stanley surveyed should have been brass players.

  • Incorrect because there are brass players in the band.

D. There is no sampling error in Stanley's survey.

  • Incorrect, as there clearly is a discrepancy compared to the expected distribution.

Thus, the statement that best describes the sampling error Stanley made when gathering data is B: A sampling error occurs because only 9 of the 30 musicians Stanley surveyed should have been brass players.