To determine which equation best models the population of coyotes over time based on the provided data, we need to analyze the periodic behavior of the population values.
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Identifying Key Characteristics:
- The maximum population values appear to be around 75, while the minimum values seem to drop to around 25.
- The population shows an initial increase, peaks, then decreases and fluctuates periodically.
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Finding the Midline:
- The midline (average of max and min) can be calculated as follows:
- Midline = (Max + Min) / 2 = (75 + 25) / 2 = 50.
- The midline (average of max and min) can be calculated as follows:
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Determining Amplitude:
- Amplitude is half the distance between the max and min values.
- Amplitude = (Max - Min) / 2 = (75 - 25) / 2 = 25.
- Amplitude is half the distance between the max and min values.
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Determining the Period:
- Count the number of years it takes to complete one cycle. Observing the data, it seems there is a peak every ~6 years (from years 3 to 9).
- This suggests a period of approximately 6.
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Identifying the Frequency:
- The frequency can be determined from the period: Frequency = 2π / Period = 2π / 6 = π / 3.
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Choosing the Cosine Function:
- Since the population starts at a relatively lower value and increases, the cosine function is appropriate.
-
Equations:
- The general form of a cosine function is given by:
\[
f(x) = A \cos(B(x - C)) + D
\]
where
- A is the amplitude,
- B affects the period,
- C is horizontal shift (phase shift, which we can ignore for this analysis since we start from a known position),
- D is the midline.
- The general form of a cosine function is given by:
\[
f(x) = A \cos(B(x - C)) + D
\]
where
Based on our findings:
- The midline is 50.
- The amplitude is 25.
- The function should start at its maximum, which would imply a negative cosine function because it starts lower than the midline.
Thus, the best fit based on the analysis is: \[ f(x) = -25 \cos\left(\frac{\pi}{3} x \right) + 50 \]
However, rearranging gives: \[ f(x) = 50 - 25 \cos\left(\frac{\pi}{3} x \right) \]
This corresponds to the second option given (the negative cosine explicitly):
Answer: \( f(x) = -25 \cos\left(\frac{\pi}{3} x\right) + 50 \) (which is the second option).