Question

Could dumping iron into the oceans solve our CO2 problem? Some scientists and engineers think so. Others are not so sure.

In a stable, balanced system, the amount of CO2 moving into the atmosphere each year is offset by the amount being removed. However, this is not happening right now. Only about half of the extra CO2 that people put into the atmosphere is being removed by natural processes such as photosynthesis and dissolving into the oceans. Scientists estimate that as a result, more than 4 gigatons of carbon are added to the atmosphere every year.

One possible solution to this problem is to increase the amount of CO2 that is removed from the air by photosynthesis. This, of course, means figuring out how to increase rates of photosynthesis. Most of us tend to think only about land plants when we think about photosynthesis, but in fact, the oceans are teeming with tiny photosynthetic organisms called phytoplankton. Increasing the number of phytoplankton in the oceans could help remove CO2 from the atmosphere. The question is how to do this.

In this satellite photograph, large swirls of green phytoplankton are shown in a large body of water.
Blooms of phytoplankton form in the cool, nutrient-rich waters of the Barents Sea in August 2011. Could dumping iron in the oceans increase the growth of phytoplankton? Is stimulating the growth of phytoplankton this way a good idea?

It turns out that one important factor limiting the growth of phytoplankton is iron. Scientists think that iron can act as a fertilizer to spur the growth of phytoplankton. Some scientists estimate that if enough iron were added, the concentration of CO2 could drop so much that we would not only stop global warming, but also we would be plunged back into another ice age. They suggest that fertilizing just a small portion of the oceans could be useful.

But would it work? CO2 does not just disappear when it is removed from the air. It is converted into compounds that make up phytoplankton. Unless they fall to the seafloor, when the phytoplankton die and decompose, CO2 is released back into the water and eventually into the air. Some scientists think fertilizing the oceans is a very short-term solution that could backfire later.

Even if it did work, would a decrease in CO2 in the atmosphere be the only effect? Probably not. Adding iron to the oceans could increase levels of other greenhouse gases. Blooms of phytoplankton can release other compounds that can be toxic to animals or harm the ozone layer. An increase in phytoplankton could provide more food for fish and other marine animals, which could be helpful in some ways but harmful in others. If large numbers of phytoplankton die off at once, their decomposition can remove oxygen from the water, leading to a die-off of fish and other marine animals.

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Answers

GPT-4o mini
In my opinion, dumping iron into the oceans as a means to combat CO2 levels is a risky and potentially unsustainable solution. While the idea of fertilizing the ocean to stimulate phytoplankton growth may seem promising, there are significant uncertainties and potential ecological consequences associated with this approach.

One of my primary arguments against ocean iron fertilization is the short-term nature of its effects. Although increasing phytoplankton could temporarily enhance CO2 absorption, the long-term benefits are questionable. Phytoplankton that don't reach the seafloor will eventually decompose, releasing CO2 back into the atmosphere. This cycle raises concerns about the effectiveness of iron fertilization as a permanent solution to the ongoing rise in atmospheric CO2. Additionally, the potential for toxic compounds and other greenhouse gases to be released, along with the risk of oxygen depletion in ocean waters, highlights the complex ecological ramifications that could arise.

Overall, while innovative approaches are needed to address climate change, I believe a more holistic strategy focusing on reducing emissions and preserving existing ecosystems would be a safer and more sustainable path forward than experimenting with large-scale ocean fertilization.

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