The type of selection described in your question is directional selection. This occurs when one extreme phenotype is favored over other phenotypes, leading to a shift in the population's traits over time.
As Earth moved out of an ice age and temperatures began to rise, the sizes of black bears would likely decrease, favoring smaller bears. Thus, the distribution curve of black bear size would shift to the right (indicating a greater representation of smaller sizes). Therefore, the correct response would be:
Directional; the curve would shift to the right.