To model the population of the birds using an exponential decay function, we can use the formula:
\[ P(t) = P_0 \cdot (1 - r)^t \]
where:
- \( P(t) \) is the population at time \( t \),
- \( P_0 \) is the initial population,
- \( r \) is the decay rate (as a decimal),
- \( t \) is the time in years.
In this case:
- \( P_0 = 800 \) (the current population),
- \( r = 0.04 \) (the decay rate of 4%),
- \( t = 15 \) (the number of years).
Substituting these values into the formula gives:
\[ P(15) = 800 \cdot (1 - 0.04)^{15} \]
This simplifies to:
\[ P(15) = 800 \cdot (0.96)^{15} \]
Now, we can calculate \( (0.96)^{15} \):
\[ (0.96)^{15} \approx 0.442(4) , (\text{using a calculator}) \]
So now substituting this back in:
\[ P(15) = 800 \cdot 0.442 \approx 353.6 \]
Rounding to the nearest whole number, the estimated population after 15 years will be:
\[ \approx 354 \text{ birds} \]
Thus, there will be approximately 354 birds in the forest after 15 years.