You are conducting a study to see if the proportion of voters who prefer Candidate A is significantly less than 0.18. You use a significance level of alpha= 0.05.

H0:p=0.18
H1:p<0.18

You obtain a sample of size n=744 in which there are 129 successes.

What is the test statistic for this sample? (Report answer accurate to three decimal places.)
test statistic =

What is the p-value for this sample? (Report answer accurate to four decimal places.)
p-value =

1 answer

To conduct a hypothesis test for the proportion, we will first calculate the test statistic and then find the p-value.

Step 1: Calculate the sample proportion \( \hat{p} \).

The sample proportion \( \hat{p} \) is calculated as: \[ \hat{p} = \frac{x}{n} \] where \( x \) is the number of successes and \( n \) is the sample size.

Given \( x = 129 \) and \( n = 744 \): \[ \hat{p} = \frac{129}{744} \approx 0.1731 \]

Step 2: Calculate the standard error (SE) of the sample proportion.

The standard error of the sample proportion is given by: \[ SE = \sqrt{\frac{p_0(1 - p_0)}{n}} \] where \( p_0 \) is the proportion under the null hypothesis.

Here, \( p_0 = 0.18 \): \[ SE = \sqrt{\frac{0.18(1 - 0.18)}{744}} = \sqrt{\frac{0.18 \cdot 0.82}{744}} \approx \sqrt{\frac{0.1476}{744}} \approx \sqrt{0.0001986} \approx 0.0141 \]

Step 3: Calculate the test statistic \( z \).

The test statistic is calculated using the formula: \[ z = \frac{\hat{p} - p_0}{SE} \]

Substituting in the values we have: \[ z = \frac{0.1731 - 0.18}{0.0141} \approx \frac{-0.0069}{0.0141} \approx -0.489 \]

So the test statistic \( z \) is: \[ \text{test statistic} = -0.489 \]

Step 4: Calculate the p-value.

Since this is a left-tailed test, we will find the p-value from the standard normal distribution.

Using a standard normal distribution table or a calculator, we can find the p-value corresponding to \( z = -0.489 \).

The cumulative probability for \( z = -0.489 \) can be found as follows: \[ p\text{-value} = P(Z < -0.489) \]

Using a normal distribution calculator or table: \[ p\text{-value} \approx 0.3121 \]

Final Answers:

  • The test statistic is: \[ \text{test statistic} = -0.489 \]

  • The p-value is: \[ \text{p-value} = 0.3121 \]