In a study to determine whether counseling could help people lose weight, a sample of people experienced a group-based behavioral intervention, which involved weekly meetings with a trained interventionist for a period of six months. The following data are the numbers of pounds lost for 14 people. Assume the population is approximately normal. Perform a hypothesis test to determine whether the mean weight loss is greater than 14 pounds. Use the a=0.10 level of significance and the P-value method.

19.6
25.8
4.9
21.0
18
9.6
14.4
18.0
34.7
30.6
9.4
32.5
20.8
16.4

Hv0 : [?]
Hv1: [?]

This is a [left/right/two tailed?] test

7 answers

To perform a hypothesis test to determine whether the mean weight loss from the group-based behavioral intervention is greater than 14 pounds, we need to set up our null and alternative hypotheses.

Hypotheses:

  • Null Hypothesis (H0): The mean weight loss is less than or equal to 14 pounds.
    \( H_0: \mu \leq 14 \)

  • Alternative Hypothesis (H1): The mean weight loss is greater than 14 pounds.
    \( H_1: \mu > 14 \)

This is a right-tailed test because we are testing if the mean weight loss is greater than a certain value (14 pounds).

Next Steps:

  1. Collect sample data: We have the following weights lost (in pounds):

    • 19.6, 25.8, 4.9, 21.0, 18.0, 9.6, 14.4, 18.0, 34.7, 30.6, 9.4, 32.5, 20.8, 16.4
  2. Calculate the sample mean and standard deviation.

  3. Conduct the hypothesis test using the t-distribution (since the sample size is relatively small and we assume normality).

  4. Determine the P-value and compare it to the significance level (α = 0.10) to make a decision.

Let's calculate the sample mean and sample standard deviation.

Sample calculations:

  1. Mean (\( \bar{x} \)): \[ \bar{x} = \frac{\text{Sum of all weights lost}}{\text{Number of samples}} = \frac{19.6 + 25.8 + 4.9 + 21.0 + 18.0 + 9.6 + 14.4 + 18.0 + 34.7 + 30.6 + 9.4 + 32.5 + 20.8 + 16.4}{14} \] \[ = \frac{ 19.6 + 25.8 + 4.9 + 21.0 + 18.0 + 9.6 + 14.4 + 18.0 + 34.7 + 30.6 + 9.4 + 32.5 + 20.8 + 16.4}{14} \approx 18.55 \]

  2. Calculate the standard deviation (s):

    • First, find the squared deviations from the mean, then calculate the standard deviation.
    • (We'll use the formula for sample standard deviation.)

    \[ s = \sqrt{\frac{\sum (x_i - \bar{x})^2}{n-1}} \]

Using a calculator, we would find the standard deviation. For this example, let’s assume the calculated standard deviation (s) is approximately 7.49 (calculating it manually is long; you should confirm this).

  1. Calculate the test statistic (t):

Using the formula for the t-statistic: \[ t = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu_0}{s/\sqrt{n}} \] Where \( \mu_0 \) is the hypothesized population mean (14), \( n \) is the sample size (14), \( \bar{x} \) is the sample mean, and \( s \) is the sample standard deviation.

Substituting in the values we've calculated: \[ t = \frac{18.55 - 14}{7.49 / \sqrt{14}} \approx \frac{4.55}{2.00} \approx 2.28 \]

  1. Determine degrees of freedom:

    • \( df = n - 1 = 14 - 1 = 13 \)
  2. Find the P-value:

    • Using a t-distribution table or calculator, find the P-value corresponding to \( t = 2.28 \) with \( df = 13 \).

Decision:

  • If the P-value is less than 0.10, we reject the null hypothesis.
  • If the P-value is greater than 0.10, we do not reject the null hypothesis.

Final decision

  • If \( P < 0.10 \): Reject \( H_0 \) (there is sufficient evidence to suggest the mean weight loss is greater than 14 pounds).
  • If \( P \geq 0.10 \): Do not reject \( H_0 \) (there is not sufficient evidence to suggest the mean weight loss is greater than 14 pounds).

You can now calculate the t-statistic and the P-value using a calculator or statistical software to conclude the test.

(b) Compute the value of the test statistic. Round the answer to at least three decimal places.

To compute the test statistic \( t \) for the given data, we need to follow these steps using the sample data provided:

Step 1: Calculate the Sample Mean (\( \bar{x} \))

Given the weights lost (in pounds):

  • 19.6, 25.8, 4.9, 21.0, 18.0, 9.6, 14.4, 18.0, 34.7, 30.6, 9.4, 32.5, 20.8, 16.4

Calculating the sum: \[ \text{Sum} = 19.6 + 25.8 + 4.9 + 21.0 + 18.0 + 9.6 + 14.4 + 18.0 + 34.7 + 30.6 + 9.4 + 32.5 + 20.8 + 16.4 = 314.9 \]

Calculating the average: \[ \bar{x} = \frac{\text{Sum}}{n} = \frac{314.9}{14} \approx 22.49 \]

Step 2: Calculate the Sample Standard Deviation (\( s \))

We first calculate the variance. The formula for sample variance \( s^2 \) is: \[ s^2 = \frac{\sum (x_i - \bar{x})^2}{n-1} \]

Calculating each squared deviation:

  1. \( (19.6 - 22.49)^2 \approx 8.441 \)
  2. \( (25.8 - 22.49)^2 \approx 10.701 \)
  3. \( (4.9 - 22.49)^2 \approx 313.268 \)
  4. \( (21.0 - 22.49)^2 \approx 2.188 \)
  5. \( (18.0 - 22.49)^2 \approx 20.413 \)
  6. \( (9.6 - 22.49)^2 \approx 166.098 \)
  7. \( (14.4 - 22.49)^2 \approx 65.964 \)
  8. \( (18.0 - 22.49)^2 \approx 20.413 \)
  9. \( (34.7 - 22.49)^2 \approx 148.131 \)
  10. \( (30.6 - 22.49)^2 \approx 66.739 \)
  11. \( (9.4 - 22.49)^2 \approx 169.221 \)
  12. \( (32.5 - 22.49)^2 \approx 101.580 \)
  13. \( (20.8 - 22.49)^2 \approx 2.876 \)
  14. \( (16.4 - 22.49)^2 \approx 36.828 \)

Now summing these squared deviations: \[ \sum (x_i - \bar{x})^2 \approx 8.441 + 10.701 + 313.268 + 2.188 + 20.413 + 166.098 + 65.964 + 20.413 + 148.131 + 66.739 + 169.221 + 101.580 + 2.876 + 36.828 \approx 1039.163 \]

Now calculate the sample variance and standard deviation: \[ s^2 = \frac{1039.163}{14 - 1} \approx \frac{1039.163}{13} \approx 79.94 \] \[ s \approx \sqrt{79.94} \approx 8.94 \]

Step 3: Calculate the Test Statistic \( t \)

Using the formula for the t-statistic: \[ t = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu_0}{s/\sqrt{n}} \] Where:

  • \( \bar{x} \approx 22.49 \) (sample mean)
  • \( \mu_0 = 14 \) (hypothesized mean)
  • \( s \approx 8.94 \) (sample standard deviation)
  • \( n = 14 \) (sample size)

Calculating \( t \): \[ t = \frac{22.49 - 14}{8.94/\sqrt{14}} \approx \frac{8.49}{2.38} \approx 3.56 \]

Final Answer

The value of the test statistic \( t \) is approximately: \[ \boxed{3.560} \]

t=2.405
(c) Compute the P-value using mine. Round the answer to at least four decimal places.

To compute the P-value for the test statistic \( t = 2.405 \) with degrees of freedom (df) derived from the sample size, we first need to determine the degrees of freedom based on the sample size:

  • Sample size (\( n \)) = 14
  • Degrees of freedom (\( df \)) = \( n - 1 = 14 - 1 = 13 \)

Since we're conducting a right-tailed test, we will find the area to the right of the calculated t-statistic in the t-distribution.

Step to calculate the P-value:

  1. Find the P-value for \( t = 2.405 \) with \( df = 13 \):
    • You can use a t-distribution table, a calculator, or statistical software to find this value.

Using a t-distribution calculator or software (such as Python, R, or statistical calculators available online), input the following:

  • T-statistic = 2.405
  • Degrees of freedom = 13

Using statistical software:

If you're calculating manually using statistical software:

import scipy.stats as stats

t_stat = 2.405
df = 13
p_value = 1 - stats.t.cdf(t_stat, df)
print(round(p_value, 4))

Using statistical tables:

Alternatively, you can refer to t-distribution tables to find the critical value for \( t = 2.405 \) with \( df = 13 \) and read off the corresponding area. The exact value from tables can vary slightly.

From most statistical software or a calculator, you can find that: \[ \text{P-value} = P(T > 2.405) \approx 0.0155 \]

Final Answer:

Thus, the P-value rounded to at least four decimal places is: \[ \boxed{0.0155} \]

do we reject hv0

To determine whether to reject the null hypothesis (\( H_0 \)), we compare the P-value obtained from the test with the significance level (\( \alpha \)) that was set at the beginning of the analysis.

Decision Rule:

  • If the P-value is less than or equal to the significance level (\( \alpha = 0.10 \)), we reject the null hypothesis (\( H_0 \)).
  • If the P-value is greater than the significance level, we fail to reject the null hypothesis.

Summary of Results:

  • P-value = 0.0155
  • Significance level (\( \alpha \)) = 0.10

Comparison:

  • Since \( 0.0155 < 0.10 \), we reject \( H_0 \).

Conclusion:

There is sufficient evidence to suggest that the mean weight loss is greater than 14 pounds. Thus, you can conclude that we reject the null hypothesis \( H_0 \).