Question

Fluctuation in the prices of precious metals such as gold have been empirically shown to be well approximated by a normal distribution when observed over short interval of time. In May 1995, the daily price of gold (1 troy ounce) was believed to have a mean of $383 and a standard deviation of $12. A broker, working under these assumptions, wanted to find the probability that the price of gold the next day would be between $394 and $399 per troy ounce. In this eventuality, the broker had an order from a client to sell the gold in the client's portfolio. What is the probability that the client's gold will be sold the next day?

Answer 1

We need to Find the probability where P(394<X<399) in the normal distribution. The ansewr is 0.0885, or about 9%.



Thus, the probability that the Client's gold will be sold the next day is 9%.