A population of values has a normal distribution with μ=65.4 and o=61.9. You intend to draw a random sample of size n=24.

Find the probability that a single randomly selected value is less than 97.
P(X < 97) =

Find the probability that a sample of size n=24 is randomly selected with a mean less than 97.
P(M < 97) =

Enter your answers as numbers accurate to 4 decimal places. Answers obtained using exact z-scores or z-scores rounded to 3 decimal places are accepted.

1 answer

To find the required probabilities, we will use the properties of the normal distribution and the z-score formula.

  1. Finding the probability that a single randomly selected value is less than 97 (P(X < 97)):

Given:

  • Mean (μ) = 65.4
  • Standard deviation (σ) = 61.9
  • Value (X) = 97

We first calculate the z-score, which is given by the formula:

\[ z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} \]

Substituting the values:

\[ z = \frac{97 - 65.4}{61.9} = \frac{31.6}{61.9} \approx 0.5097 \]

Now, we will look up the z-score in the standard normal distribution table or use a calculator to find the probability associated with this z-score.

Using a z-table or calculator:

\[ P(X < 97) \approx P(Z < 0.5097) \approx 0.6943 \]

  1. Finding the probability that a sample of size n=24 has a mean less than 97 (P(M < 97)):

When dealing with sample means, we need to consider the standard error (SE), which is calculated as:

\[ SE = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} \]

Where:

  • n = 24
  • σ = 61.9

Calculating the standard error:

\[ SE = \frac{61.9}{\sqrt{24}} \approx \frac{61.9}{4.899} \approx 12.629 \]

Next, we calculate the z-score for the sample mean using the same formula as before:

\[ z = \frac{M - \mu}{SE} \]

Substituting the values:

\[ z = \frac{97 - 65.4}{12.629} = \frac{31.6}{12.629} \approx 2.5043 \]

Now, we find the probability associated with this z-score:

\[ P(M < 97) \approx P(Z < 2.5043) \]

Using a z-table or calculator:

\[ P(Z < 2.5043) \approx 0.9939 \]

  1. Final Answers:

Therefore,

  • \( P(X < 97) \approx 0.6943 \)
  • \( P(M < 97) \approx 0.9939 \)

Final answers (accurate to 4 decimal places):

  • P(X < 97) = 0.6943
  • P(M < 97) = 0.9939